Little has changed today regarding the probability of President Donald Trump’s impeachment and removal from the White House. According to Kalshi, a prediction market, at 10:15 this morning, the market value of the question of Mr. Trump’s impeachment and removal from office stood at $0.97 with a return of $0.00. The position on this morning’s … Continue reading If the Democrats do not impeach Trump, what will they do next?
Slightly better news for supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump on the question of whether the President will be impeached and removed from office. Yesterday, Kalshi reported an unrealized return of -$0.02 on the bet that Mr. Trump’s presidency would not survive to 20 January 2029. The question last traded at a “no” of 82 … Continue reading The bet on an impeachment and removal of Trump slumps ever so slightly.
Last Thursday at approximately 5:18 pm, the unrealized return on the question whether or not President Donald Trump will be impeached and removed from the White House was -$0.03 or negative three percent. Kalshi showed a last trade of $.83 and a market value of -$0.95. As of 10:25 pm yesterday, the unrealized return on … Continue reading Starting off Monday slow regarding Trump and impeachment.
At 8:54 am this morning, Kalshi reported an unrealized return of zero dollars on the question of whether President Donald Trump would be impeached and leave office. At that time, the event contract last traded “no” at $0.84. The payout was listed at $1.16. Market value of the contract was -$0.97 and a total return … Continue reading On the question of impeachment and removal, the markets appear quiet for now.
At 9:48 am, the Kalshi market answer to the question, “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?”, still held at a “no” response, priced at $.82. The change in 24 hours prior had been -0.20% with an unrealized return -2.06%. The Kalshi priced the market value of the question at $0.95 with a total … Continue reading Can Trump turn good behavior toward Xi into avoiding impeachment and removal from office in 2027?
No changes from yesterday as markets maintained their bets that U.S. President Donald Trump may be able to hold on to the Oval Office until 20 January 2029. Kalshi on the question as to whether Mr. Trump will be impeached and forced to leave office has a “yes” answer priced at $.18 while a “no” … Continue reading The markets are still betting that Trump will survive attempts to remove him from office.
