Little has changed today regarding the probability of President Donald Trump’s impeachment and removal from the White House. According to Kalshi, a prediction market, at 10:15 this morning, the market value of the question of Mr. Trump’s impeachment and removal from office stood at $0.97 with a return of $0.00. The position on this morning’s … Continue reading If the Democrats do not impeach Trump, what will they do next?
A scan of headlines from the American media told me that reporters here in the States may be looking, temporarily at least, at other issues in American politics. On Kalshi, the question, “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?”, saw only the slightest changes in the statistics. There is nothing in today’s press reports … Continue reading Trump continues to holdoff question of impeachment and removal.
Last Thursday at approximately 5:18 pm, the unrealized return on the question whether or not President Donald Trump will be impeached and removed from the White House was -$0.03 or negative three percent. Kalshi showed a last trade of $.83 and a market value of -$0.95. As of 10:25 pm yesterday, the unrealized return on … Continue reading Starting off Monday slow regarding Trump and impeachment.
At 8:54 am this morning, Kalshi reported an unrealized return of zero dollars on the question of whether President Donald Trump would be impeached and leave office. At that time, the event contract last traded “no” at $0.84. The payout was listed at $1.16. Market value of the contract was -$0.97 and a total return … Continue reading On the question of impeachment and removal, the markets appear quiet for now.
No changes from yesterday as markets maintained their bets that U.S. President Donald Trump may be able to hold on to the Oval Office until 20 January 2029. Kalshi on the question as to whether Mr. Trump will be impeached and forced to leave office has a “yes” answer priced at $.18 while a “no” … Continue reading The markets are still betting that Trump will survive attempts to remove him from office.
