A scan of headlines from the American media told me that reporters here in the States may be looking, temporarily at least, at other issues in American politics. On Kalshi, the question, “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?”, saw only the slightest changes in the statistics. There is nothing in today’s press reports … Continue reading Trump continues to holdoff question of impeachment and removal.
At 8:54 am this morning, Kalshi reported an unrealized return of zero dollars on the question of whether President Donald Trump would be impeached and leave office. At that time, the event contract last traded “no” at $0.84. The payout was listed at $1.16. Market value of the contract was -$0.97 and a total return … Continue reading On the question of impeachment and removal, the markets appear quiet for now.
I reviewed Maryland state and federal court findings and rulings for 3 September 2026 on event contracts and prediction markets. Nothing stood out to me except for the possibility that the U.S. Supreme Court may address the question whether prediction markets could extract taxes from the States and transfer them to the federal governments. The … Continue reading Should states have jurisdiction over sports event or gambling contracts formed in their states?
On 27 August 2026, the following courts had no opinions released regarding prediction markets or event contracts: Supreme Court of Maryland United States District Court for the District of Maryland United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit Supreme Court of the United States Alton Drew 27 August 2026 Continue reading What the Courts said today about event contracts and prediction markets. 27 August 2026
