Category: China

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On the question of impeachment and removal, the markets appear quiet for now.

At 8:54 am this morning, Kalshi reported an unrealized return of zero dollars on the question of whether President Donald Trump would be impeached and leave office. At that time, the event contract last traded “no” at $0.84. The payout was listed at $1.16. Market value of the contract was -$0.97 and a total return … Continue reading On the question of impeachment and removal, the markets appear quiet for now.

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Can Trump turn good behavior toward Xi into avoiding impeachment and removal from office in 2027?

At 9:48 am, the Kalshi market answer to the question, “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?”, still held at a “no” response, priced at $.82. The change in 24 hours prior had been -0.20% with an unrealized return -2.06%. The Kalshi priced the market value of the question at $0.95 with a total … Continue reading Can Trump turn good behavior toward Xi into avoiding impeachment and removal from office in 2027?