Since President-elect Donald Trump announced his intent to acquire Greenland from Denmark, the Danish currency, the krone, has been devaluing against the U.S. dollar. According to data from OANDA, the price of one US dollar (USD) was 7.22722 krone (DKK) on 9 January. The currency continued to fall against the US dollar to a price … Continue reading Trump’s Greenland play. A state power flex.
As the media reacts to statements by the President-elect regarding tariffs on Canada and Mexico and taking Greenland from Denmark, I have to counsel caution about the weight and gravity of Donald Trump’s pre-inauguration pronouncements. Mr. Trump is not yet the President of the United States and until such time, trading desks should not pull … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: International Economic Emergency Powers Act: Never act on the rumor of executive action.
Yesterday’s biggest American political event was the election of Mike Johnson, Republican of Louisiana, to serve as Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress. Mr. Johnson was able to avoid a long selection battle for the speakership with the only major challenge coming from U.S. Representative Hakeem Jeffries, Democrat of New York. The next … Continue reading Remain mindful of data releases and political events when reading trade sentiment.
With all the talk of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa going their own way by moving away from the USD, the presumptive president-elect seeking a weaker dollar that promotes the export of goods manufactured in the United States, and a downward trend in foreign direct investment inflows to the United States, it would … Continue reading If FDI inflows are trending down, shouldn’t price of USD follow?
All is quiet as the U.S. prepares for Christmas along with the rest of the Anglo world. Last week I expected the EUR/USD to close above 1.0275 and it did at 1.0494. The current spot rate at 6:11 pm EST is 1.04412. I see one NADEX contract expiring on Friday at 3:00 pm with a … Continue reading I expect the EUR/USD to fall between 1.0288 and 1.0401. Also, Elon needs to tamp it down.
So, Elon Musk wants to cut the U.S. federal budget by $2 trillion or approximately 29.85%. If we transferred that percentage cut to annualized 2024 3Q federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment of $1893.4 billion, accounting for 6.5% of gross domestic product, government consumption expenditures and gross investment would fall to approximately $1,328.2 billion. … Continue reading DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.
The State extracts, expends, and expands. I do not believe that either Elon Musk or Vivek Ramasawmy gets this concept. The wealth they created in this country is based on this concept; that as the State increases its borrowing costs to fund its expansion, that some of the raised revenues go to contracting with or … Continue reading DOGE: Will it support the currency?
Former U.S. president Donald Trump made the crypto industry a promise; that he would consider creating a fund that holds bitcoin as a reserve asset [1]. A number of states including Pennsylvania are reportedly considering similar proposals for incorporating state bitcoin ownership as a part of their state fiscal policies [2]. U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis, … Continue reading Does making bitcoin a reserve asset increase transactional activity in the U.S.?
Board of Governors. Dual Mandate. The Federal Reserve on Friday announced additional information about the periodic review of its monetary policy strategy, tools, and communications—the framework it uses to pursue its congressionally-assigned goals of maximum employment and price stability. Federal Reserve System. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Digitized tokens. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Global Markets … Continue reading Interbank and liquidity news scan: Will we see an increase in the use of digitized assets as collateral? And, good-bye, Gary Gensler.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 