Author: Alton Drew

I graduated from The Florida State University with a Bachelor of Science in economics and political science (1984); a Master of Public Administration (1993); and a Juris Doctor (1999). I am a member of the Maryland Bar and practice political law. You can email me at altondrew@gmail.com.
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Will the AUD/USD keep falling through end of the week? Can Biden influence Albanese’s visit to China?

AUD/USD=0.63201 There is more to Australia than the Australian Open, which I look forward to each year because it signals the beginning of the tennis season ( For my fellow tennis-heads, the dates are 14 January to 28 January 2024). Prior to the tennis hardcourt play down under is the political hardcourt play in the … Continue reading Will the AUD/USD keep falling through end of the week? Can Biden influence Albanese’s visit to China?

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What is the Federal Reserve’s sentiment prior to its November meeting? Does it impact you?

We are in the quiet period here in the United States where the Federal Reserve conducts its media blackout prior to its next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The markets are expecting at least one more change in the federal funds rate, the rate at which member banks lend each a portion of the reserves … Continue reading What is the Federal Reserve’s sentiment prior to its November meeting? Does it impact you?

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Interbank market: At 11: 56 pm EST, no change in the 30-day Federal Funds Futures …

The data … 30-day Federal Funds Futures: 94.55 Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.40% Discount Window: 5.50% Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.33% U.S. Treasury 10-year bond: 4.91% The takeaway … Between August 2022 and August 2023, the U.S. monetary base has fallen 2.36%. The monetary base is comprised of currency in circulation and reserve balances. Currency … Continue reading Interbank market: At 11: 56 pm EST, no change in the 30-day Federal Funds Futures …

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Biden supports a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine.

At 10:06 am as President Joe Biden began delivering remarks from Tel Aviv, the EUR/USD was 1.05475 and GBP/USD was 1.21622. Mr Biden reiterated that the United States supported Israel; that the Jewish state would not stand alone. Mr Biden also noted that the United States saw no higher priority than getting back American hostages. … Continue reading Biden supports a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine.

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Interbank market: At 8:29 am EST. Federal Reserve reference rates and fed funds options rate.

30-day Federal Funds Futures: 94.55 Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.40% Discount Window Rate: 5.50% Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.33% EUR/USD: 1.0571 GBP/USD: 1.2202 We will circle back around later today after taking a look at Federal Reserve sentiment and any other political action that may impact the betting markets. Banks broker the bets. Lawyers write … Continue reading Interbank market: At 8:29 am EST. Federal Reserve reference rates and fed funds options rate.

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Binary options: How the dollar is expected to fare at week’s end.

Data from NADEX as of 11:55 pm shows the EUR/USD has a probability of .7525 that the currency pair’s price will exceed 1.0525 on 13 October 2023. The current rate reported by x-rates.com is 1.0570. The USD/JPY has a probability of .500 of exceeding 148.75 by week’s end. The current rate is 148.6382. Meanwhile, the … Continue reading Binary options: How the dollar is expected to fare at week’s end.

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Could dollar weakening be in anticipation of the jobs report?

Currency pair 2 October 2023 3 October 2023 4 October 2023 5 October 2023   EUR/USD 1.0489 1.0472 1.0508 1.0547 Dollar weakening GBP/USD 1.2099 1.2077 1.2139 1.2193 Dollar weakening AUD/USD 0.6366 0.6303 0.6322 0.6370 Flat USD/JPY 149.8064 148.8225 149.1097 148.5140 Dollar weakening USD/CHF 0.9180 0.9207 0.9171 0.9131 Flat USD/CAD 1.3671 1.3711 1.3744 1.3714 Dollar strengthening … Continue reading Could dollar weakening be in anticipation of the jobs report?

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Traders should not care whether a candidate is Republican or Democrat. It’s the tax flow that matters.

People connect for the purpose of exchanging value. No value, no reason to connect. Money is energy that we exchange with each other. The State seeks to extract a portion of that energy in the form of taxes. It uses market transactions as generators of taxable events. The taxes collected on these events fund the … Continue reading Traders should not care whether a candidate is Republican or Democrat. It’s the tax flow that matters.