Tag: trump

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Trump’s poorly played short term currency policy exposes Europe’s long term currency complacency …

From my trading desk … FX Street is reporting today that traders of the EUR/USD should expect continued slides in the euro. I concur in their assessment given what I saw in the charts on the NADEX from 10:00 am yesterday morning to 11:00 pm that evening. The EUR/USD went from a close of 1.16375 … Continue reading Trump’s poorly played short term currency policy exposes Europe’s long term currency complacency …

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Binary options: Did Trump’s tariff letters upset the EUR/USD?

I bought a EUR/USD contract speculating on a close above 1.1700 by 11 am this morning. At 11:00 am, the EUR/USD price at expiration was 1.17385. Tariff uncertainty dominated the media scuttlebutt as markets kept all eyes on President Trump’s letter writing campaign. According to CBS News, Mr. Trump was to send tariff increase letters … Continue reading Binary options: Did Trump’s tariff letters upset the EUR/USD?

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U.S., Israel, and Iran: Yesterday’s 3pm EUR/USD expiry at 1.14794 took me for a loop.

Leave it to President Trump to cause a market mover in the EUR/USD yesterday when he shared that he was not in the mood to negotiate with Iran. According to FXStreet, a financial media publication, the President’s sentiments helped drive the EUR/USD below 1.1500 indicating a move to safe-haven assets including, ironically, the US dollar. … Continue reading U.S., Israel, and Iran: Yesterday’s 3pm EUR/USD expiry at 1.14794 took me for a loop.

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Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

The takeaway: Turning the Ukraine-Russia war into a play on infrastructure. Among my general thesis about government is that it plays a role in making a market. In the 1700s and 1800s, the United States was in essence a realtor, selling land to settlers who promised to develop the vast territory of the United States. … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

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Interbank market news scan: On interest rates, traders be advised that Mr. Trump is out of his lane

Yesterday, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would demand that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System lower interest rates. Mr. Trump’s off the cuff remarks reminded me of a scene from “Air Force One” where Harrison Ford’s character during a speech made in a central Asian country shared a position on … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: On interest rates, traders be advised that Mr. Trump is out of his lane

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Interbank market news scan: International Economic Emergency Powers Act: Never act on the rumor of executive action.

As the media reacts to statements by the President-elect regarding tariffs on Canada and Mexico and taking Greenland from Denmark, I have to counsel caution about the weight and gravity of Donald Trump’s pre-inauguration pronouncements. Mr. Trump is not yet the President of the United States and until such time, trading desks should not pull … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: International Economic Emergency Powers Act: Never act on the rumor of executive action.

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DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.

So, Elon Musk wants to cut the U.S. federal budget by $2 trillion or approximately 29.85%. If we transferred that percentage cut to annualized 2024 3Q federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment of $1893.4 billion, accounting for 6.5% of gross domestic product, government consumption expenditures and gross investment would fall to approximately $1,328.2 billion. … Continue reading DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.

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Is strong dollar policy antithesis of the Trump manufacturing agenda?

Currency analyst and trader Kathy Lien shared this video where she discusses the reasons behind the current climb in dollar strength. She lists five major reasons. First, the US economy is doing well when compared to the Eurozone and Asia. Yields are increasing and attracting more investors. Second, the Trump return to the White House … Continue reading Is strong dollar policy antithesis of the Trump manufacturing agenda?