Tag: interest rates

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Trump’s call on Powell to lower benchmark rates has no impact on direction of foreign exchange rates.

Reuters today posted yet another call by U.S. President Donald Trump for Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee to lower the target range for the federal funds rate. The target range for the federal funds rate is currently between 4.25% and 4.50%. The federal funds rate is a weighted average of the … Continue reading Trump’s call on Powell to lower benchmark rates has no impact on direction of foreign exchange rates.

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Interbank market news scan: Certain overnight rates see an uptick.

U.S. Treasury rates Yesterday, the two-year, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates moved down between 9:00 am this morning and 4:30 pm. According to Treasury data, the one-month rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.29% to 4.28%. The ten-year rate fell from 4.55% to 4.53%, while the 30-year rate fell from 4.77% to 4.76%. Board … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Certain overnight rates see an uptick.

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Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?

Today is Fed Day, when the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting on the state of the U.S. economy and issues its decision on the appropriate rates for regulating the interbank market. 12 USC 225(a) requires that: “The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee … Continue reading Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?

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Political risks create either shorting opportunities or existential threats …

Four types of political risks arguably move interest rates. First, the perception of fiscal responsibility. If bond holders perceive an increased risk in the government defaulting on bond payments, or not collecting enough in taxes, bond holders will want a higher interest rate before lending the government more money. Second, the economic stances of a … Continue reading Political risks create either shorting opportunities or existential threats …

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The Full Employment Act. Ignored by Trump and Harris alike…

When Congress passed into law the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978, it called on the Congress, the President, and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to coordinate on economic policy for the purpose of battling inflation and unemployment and securing economic growth. I believe this means that when the president proposes her goals and targets for the economy that she is able to persuade fiscal and monetary policy makers to reconcile their goals with hers. Continue reading The Full Employment Act. Ignored by Trump and Harris alike…

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Is it time for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate?

The world has risk-laden problems to solve. Higher borrowing rates are indicia of higher risks to returns on capital, but the cries for lower rates do not appear to resonate with capital’s search for high returns that compensate for higher risks. If the Federal Reserve System is to meet its statutory dual mandate of stable … Continue reading Is it time for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate?

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The Fed narrative and depositors. Is there a conflict?

A high school classmate shared with me her concern about looking for higher yielding accounts. Baby boomers closing in on retirement are either trying to accumulate more cash via compounding interest while saving more of our incomes and sticking those savings into accounts. Meanwhile the media is guiding our eyeballs and eardrums to the messaging … Continue reading The Fed narrative and depositors. Is there a conflict?

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Why hasn’t Biden passed off to the Fed the blame for economic uncertainty?

The takeaway … The election is one year away, and President Joe Biden has some work to do. According to a The New York Times/Sienna College poll, Mr Biden is losing to Donald Trump in five of six pivotal states. Should forecasts hold, Mr Trump could very well carry the Electoral College by at least … Continue reading Why hasn’t Biden passed off to the Fed the blame for economic uncertainty?

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What are the foreign exchange, Treasurys, and interest rates reported by the Federal Reserve as of 8 August 2023, 11:30 pm EST

Foreign exchange EUR/USD=1.1036 GBP/USD=1.2775 AUD/USD=0.6605 NZD/USD=0.6127 USD/CHF=0.8713 USD/JPY=141.7900 Treasurys 30-year=4.27% 10-year=4.09% (Ready to raise your trading game? http://toptiertrader.com/?ref=1449 ) Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Rates Discount Window Rate=5.50% Effective Federal Funds Rate=5.33% Interest on Reserve Balances=5.40% Overnight Reverse Repo Purchase Rates=5.30% Sources: Board of Governors-Federal Reserve System and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. (Do … Continue reading What are the foreign exchange, Treasurys, and interest rates reported by the Federal Reserve as of 8 August 2023, 11:30 pm EST