Does Trump want to create a more independent Europe for the sake of competition for the dollar?

In its quarterly report to Congress regarding its foreign exchange operations for the second quarter of 2025, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury reported that there was no intervention in the foreign exchange markets. The U.S. dollar, as measured by its broad-weighted dollar index, depreciated 5.6%. Cumulatively, the dollar has depreciated 7.5% since the … Continue reading Does Trump want to create a more independent Europe for the sake of competition for the dollar?

Renewed Statement of Commitment to the FX Global Code

Source: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York July 18, 2025 “The Federal Reserve Bank of New York (New York Fed) today released its renewed Statement of Commitment to the FX Global Code (Code). The Code, which was initially published May 2017, is a set of global principles of good practice in the foreign exchange market, developed to provide a … Continue reading Renewed Statement of Commitment to the FX Global Code

The Interbank Markets: Will ECB seek other sources of dollar funding?

The data as of 11:32 EST … Investing.com has calculated a forward rate contract price for EUR/USD on 16 May 2025 at 1.1205. That compares with my back of the napkin forward rate calculation of EUR/USD=1.1210 on Friday. The NADEX is pricing the probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1225 at $4.50. At 11:00 am, Reuters priced … Continue reading The Interbank Markets: Will ECB seek other sources of dollar funding?

Currency and money markets news scan: Don’t get triggered by the politics. One man is not the economy.

The Takeaway: Don’t get triggered by the politics. One man is not the economy. No amount of reason is going to quiet the Trump Derangement Syndrome running rampant through the electorate of the United States. I am in the camp that the President does not have a reach extensive enough to put a negative dent … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Don’t get triggered by the politics. One man is not the economy.

Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks

Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks

Nationalist versus globalist. An activist investor treatment of government.

Time Range Change in Money Supply Change in Personal Consumption Expenditure Change in Effective Federal Funds Rate January 2023 to January 2024 +9.66% +2.5% +23.09% February 2023 to February 2024 +10.81% +2.5% +16.63% March 2023 to March 2024 +5.59% +2.7% +10.35% April 2023 to April 2024 +3.26% +2.7% +10.35% May 2023 to May 2024 +2.79% … Continue reading Nationalist versus globalist. An activist investor treatment of government.