Trump’s call on Powell to lower benchmark rates has no impact on direction of foreign exchange rates.

Reuters today posted yet another call by U.S. President Donald Trump for Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee to lower the target range for the federal funds rate. The target range for the federal funds rate is currently between 4.25% and 4.50%. The federal funds rate is a weighted average of the … Continue reading Trump’s call on Powell to lower benchmark rates has no impact on direction of foreign exchange rates.

Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?

Today is Fed Day, when the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting on the state of the U.S. economy and issues its decision on the appropriate rates for regulating the interbank market. 12 USC 225(a) requires that: “The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee … Continue reading Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?

Shouldn’t weak jobs numbers from Labor and ADP result in higher rated debt?

The markets are looking forward to a reduction in less than two weeks in the federal funds target rate. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 59% chance that the Federal Open Market Committee will reduce the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points. This means that the overnight rate target range … Continue reading Shouldn’t weak jobs numbers from Labor and ADP result in higher rated debt?

Nationalist versus globalist. An activist investor treatment of government.

Time Range Change in Money Supply Change in Personal Consumption Expenditure Change in Effective Federal Funds Rate January 2023 to January 2024 +9.66% +2.5% +23.09% February 2023 to February 2024 +10.81% +2.5% +16.63% March 2023 to March 2024 +5.59% +2.7% +10.35% April 2023 to April 2024 +3.26% +2.7% +10.35% May 2023 to May 2024 +2.79% … Continue reading Nationalist versus globalist. An activist investor treatment of government.