A quiet Monday morning before the Federal Open Market Committee meeting …

I sit in the group that sees a 19.6% chance that the FOMC increases the fed funds target range by 25 basis points to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%. For the asset-less, wage earning class, we may benefit from rate increases due to greater returns on the cash we accumulate. Also, for those of us who were able to hoard cash, falling asset prices may give us a chance to accumulate other income generating assets or purchase non-income generating assets and convert them into money makers. Continue reading A quiet Monday morning before the Federal Open Market Committee meeting …

Interbank Market News Scan: Fed funds, bitcoin, and foreign exchange rates at 9:40 am EST

The takeaway: The role of government is to feed the bond markets … Markets are not the creation of people. Markets are the creation of kings and courts designed to encourage the efficient extraction of energy, yield, and taxes. The king’s currency is a derivative of real money, the yield and energy produced by the … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Fed funds, bitcoin, and foreign exchange rates at 9:40 am EST

The Community Reinvestment Act not an example of political outcome for blacks

Black politicians concerned about protecting their communities via banking should have been advocating that the Federal Reserve increase rates hard and fast. While the increase in rates would have been accompanied by a decrease in house prices, non-blacks would have thought twice about buying up black neighborhoods while black homeowners using data evincing falling values could have petitioned for lower property taxes based on those falling values. Continue reading The Community Reinvestment Act not an example of political outcome for blacks

Interbank market news scan: Rates on Treasurys continue to inch up in week prior to Fed Day

On this first impression I expect both chambers of Congress to make the supposed banking crisis less of an issue especially as we move further into the campaign season. Congress, particularly congressional Democrats, do not want to be perceived as facilitators of a worsening political economy. Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Rates on Treasurys continue to inch up in week prior to Fed Day

Interbank Market News Scan: All quiet on the Federal Reserve front …

The media is saying this …. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s FedWatch tool has done a 180 degree turn from its 9 February 2023 consensus that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System would only increase its fed funds target range by 25-basis points.  The CME forecast a .908 probability of the Fed targeting … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: All quiet on the Federal Reserve front …

The Interbank Market News Scan: An arbitrage moment for U.S. banks

Morning thoughts … When I listen to the YouTube posse opine about the Federal Reserve’s use of its monetary policy tools, I sense the gurus lack of awareness that they are playing in a sandbox and trying to navigate in the afterburn of an airplane engine. The noise can be deafening. The clutter thicker than … Continue reading The Interbank Market News Scan: An arbitrage moment for U.S. banks