Currency and money markets news scan: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults?

The takeaway: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults? Alejandro Riviera is upset today. He needs $200,000 per year in income in order to enjoy retirement with his wife, Anita, and the dog, Puff. Last week, with the two-year rate at 3.99%, Alejandro needed a portfolio of $5,012,531 to generate his … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults?

One Fed governor and one Fed bank president emphasize caution on rates ….

The takeaway … Loretta Mester, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland shared with CNBC her view that while the recent consumer price index print for October 2023 was positive, the Federal Reserve System was not going to react to one data release. Inflation in October, as measured by the … Continue reading One Fed governor and one Fed bank president emphasize caution on rates ….

Why hasn’t Biden passed off to the Fed the blame for economic uncertainty?

The takeaway … The election is one year away, and President Joe Biden has some work to do. According to a The New York Times/Sienna College poll, Mr Biden is losing to Donald Trump in five of six pivotal states. Should forecasts hold, Mr Trump could very well carry the Electoral College by at least … Continue reading Why hasn’t Biden passed off to the Fed the blame for economic uncertainty?

Georgia and the Fed: Is Atlanta putting too much housing supply out there?

The takeaway …. Driving through the streets of Atlanta and new apartment building development appears on the rise. I shudder to think what rents may be for these new developments. I have seen prices for new multi-family developments in the East Atlanta/Inman Park/Reynoldstown area starting at purchase prices in the upper $500K range. Yes, the … Continue reading Georgia and the Fed: Is Atlanta putting too much housing supply out there?

No surprises as the Fed keeps rates the same. If there is a pivot, it is coming from the media not the Fed…

The takeaway … I listened to Jerome Powell’s press conference held yesterday after the release of the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision on the federal funds target range. The FOMC decided to maintain the target range at 5.25% to 5.50% by keeping its administered rates, the discount window and the interest on reserve balances, at … Continue reading No surprises as the Fed keeps rates the same. If there is a pivot, it is coming from the media not the Fed…

Interbank market: At 8:29 am EST. Federal Reserve reference rates and fed funds options rate.

30-day Federal Funds Futures: 94.55 Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.40% Discount Window Rate: 5.50% Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.33% EUR/USD: 1.0571 GBP/USD: 1.2202 We will circle back around later today after taking a look at Federal Reserve sentiment and any other political action that may impact the betting markets. Banks broker the bets. Lawyers write … Continue reading Interbank market: At 8:29 am EST. Federal Reserve reference rates and fed funds options rate.

The Interbank: What the Federal Reserve is looking at in terms of rates at 8:35 am EST, 25 August 2023.

The quick take … The 30-year and 10-year bond rates appear to have reversed from yesterday. The longer term 30-year should in theory be higher than the 10-year. Our forte is not bond analysis but in theory this rate relationship typically indicates that the markets are seeing a decline in risk. The further out the … Continue reading The Interbank: What the Federal Reserve is looking at in terms of rates at 8:35 am EST, 25 August 2023.

Fed funds futures, reference rates, and Treasurys as 9:18 pm EST, 21 August 2023.

Fed Funds Futures. 30-Day Federal Funds Futures rate=94.565 Source: CME Group. Federal Reserve Reference Rates. Discount window rate=5.50% Interest on reserve balances=5.40% Effective federal funds rate=5.33% Overnight reverse repo rate=5.30% Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Treasurys. 30-year rate=4.38% 10-year rate=4.26% Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Continue reading Fed funds futures, reference rates, and Treasurys as 9:18 pm EST, 21 August 2023.