Currency and money markets news scan: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults?

The takeaway: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults? Alejandro Riviera is upset today. He needs $200,000 per year in income in order to enjoy retirement with his wife, Anita, and the dog, Puff. Last week, with the two-year rate at 3.99%, Alejandro needed a portfolio of $5,012,531 to generate his … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults?

The 119th Congress takes its seat tomorrow as the dollar continues to strengthen.

The GOP-controlled 119th Congress will take its seat around noon tomorrow. Over in the House chamber, there will be a vote for the Speaker of the House. Meanwhile, results from the Pan-European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index demonstrates the danger of making a five day call on where the EUR/USD may end up at week’s end. … Continue reading The 119th Congress takes its seat tomorrow as the dollar continues to strengthen.

Dollar weakens after Powell’s testimony to Congress. Was it something he said?

Around 6:31 am yesterday, approximately three and one-half hours prior to Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, the price of the U.S. dollar in terms of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, and the Eastern Caribbean dollar was as follows: USD/EUR=0.9193 USD/GBP=0.7858 USD/JPY=149.7394 USD/CAD=1.3582 … Continue reading Dollar weakens after Powell’s testimony to Congress. Was it something he said?

It’s post Super Bowl Monday. What options contracts are in or out of the money.

Underlying Future Monthly option price-February 2024 Strike price Spot price   EUR FX (6EH4) 1.0806 1.1000 1.0792 Call option: OTM, Put option: ITM JPY/USD (6JH4) 0.0067385 0.00695 0.006701 Call option: OTM, Put option: ITM           Source: CME Group, x-rates.com. At 11:39 pm EST United States 10-year bond Germany 10-year bund Japan … Continue reading It’s post Super Bowl Monday. What options contracts are in or out of the money.

Interbank Market News Scan: Between debt ceiling banter and the unemployment rate, where will the EUR/USD land tomorrow?

If there is an increase in average wages accompanied by a year-over-year inflation rate of 4.4%, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ personal consumption expenditure index, I don’t see why the markets would expect a pause by the Board of Governors in raising the discount window and interest on reserve balances rates and changing its federal funds overnight target range. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Between debt ceiling banter and the unemployment rate, where will the EUR/USD land tomorrow?

Interbank Market News Scan: Is one and done is out of the window according to CME Fed Watch?

The stats … 30-Day Federal Funds Futures and Options (ZQV3): 94.735 Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.08% Discount Window Rate: 5.25% Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.15% 10-Year Treasury Note: 3.80% EUR/USD=1.0713 USD/JPY=140.5300 DXY=104.07 The takeaway … The dollar strengthens and I see less demand for the euro and the yen. According to data from the Federal … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Is one and done is out of the window according to CME Fed Watch?

Interbank Market News Scan: Yen value against the dollar decreased while spreads tightened…

The Stats … Currency pair 22 May 2023 23 May 2023 24 May 2023 25 May 2023 26 May 2023 BTC/USD 26820.8 26795.9 27217.6 27201.2 26276.4 EUR/USD 1.08061 1.08146 1.07862 1.07675 1.07283 GBP/USD 1.24444 1.2442 1.24145 1.23948 1.23407 USD/JPY 137.195 138.16 138.549 138.802 139.699 Source: OANDA Analysis by FXStreet notes a number of factors that … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Yen value against the dollar decreased while spreads tightened…