At 8:27 am, I posted on X that it looks like the market expects a good PPI report. The price was 1.15954. Around 7:41 am the price was 1.16107. The dollar was enjoying some strengthening. But alas, at 8:30 am, we saw a spike in the EUR/USD at 1.16062. By 8:31, the price was at … Continue reading The Producer Price Index is unchanged for the month of June
U.S. Treasury rates Yesterday, the two-year, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates moved down between 9:00 am this morning and 4:30 pm. According to Treasury data, the one-month rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.29% to 4.28%. The ten-year rate fell from 4.55% to 4.53%, while the 30-year rate fell from 4.77% to 4.76%. Board … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Certain overnight rates see an uptick.
Speaking today via satellite before approximately 3,000 attendees at the World Economic Forum, President Donald Trump provided his agenda for where he wants to take the American and world economies. It was basically a rehash of some of his written executive orders over the last three days. Mr. Trump declared that the election provided him … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Did Trump say anything scary to Davos participants? Nothing they have not heard before.
U.S. President Donald J. Trump promised today during his inaugural address that he would address the levels of inflation brought on by government overspending and high energy costs. He offered as a solution the old mantra, “Drill, baby, drill” implying that increases in the supply of American extracted and processed oil and gas would increase … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Trump makes an inflation promise that he can’t keep.
U.S. Representative French Hill, Republican of Arkansas and chairman of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, announced earlier this week the formation of the Monetary Policy, Treasury Market Resilience, and Economic Prosperity Task Force. According to Mr. Hill’s statement: “The Committee’s new Task Force will conduct hearings looking into issues relating to monetary policy, … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Is the U.S. House task force on monetary policy more political than monetary?
The asset holder views a good economy as one where she has the ability to bring good collateral to a prime broker, borrow at a prime rate, and spend the borrowed money on stuff while keeping hope alive that the value of the collateral she brings to the bank or the exchange survives a margin … Continue reading Is it time to stop listening to government messaging on the economy?
Europe is closed for the day and the EUR/USD is, as of 11:01 am, priced at 1.0382. I am still confident that it will trade above 1.0288 by the end of this week. As usual, I am interested in trader sentiment within the gardened walls of the interbank market. Unless you are sitting on the … Continue reading At 11:35 am EST: If I could be the fly on a broker’s wall …
Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks
With all the talk of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa going their own way by moving away from the USD, the presumptive president-elect seeking a weaker dollar that promotes the export of goods manufactured in the United States, and a downward trend in foreign direct investment inflows to the United States, it would … Continue reading If FDI inflows are trending down, shouldn’t price of USD follow?
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 