Back on 7 July, the EUR/USD spot price was at 1.17802 around 8:09 am. I had determined a forward rate of 1.1775 for 9 July 2025. At 7:02 am, the EUR/USD was at 1.17029 and I recalculated the forward rate for this Friday at 1.1701. The spot price is the price in the marketplace at … Continue reading As we await the FOMC minutes, EUR/USD shows some dollar strengthening.
The takeaway: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults? Alejandro Riviera is upset today. He needs $200,000 per year in income in order to enjoy retirement with his wife, Anita, and the dog, Puff. Last week, with the two-year rate at 3.99%, Alejandro needed a portfolio of $5,012,531 to generate his … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Will banks leave more money in their Federal Reserve bank vaults?
I liken the Democratic and Republican parties as two major management companies pitching their management styles as the best one for managing the political economy. Political campaigns between Democrats and Republicans are public battles over whose philosophy and narrative should be allowed to guide the nation-state. As “privateers” for the political economy, banks and their trading … Continue reading How the Democratic and Republican philosophies differ on managing the value of the currency.
Currency pair 2 October 2023 3 October 2023 4 October 2023 5 October 2023 EUR/USD 1.0489 1.0472 1.0508 1.0547 Dollar weakening GBP/USD 1.2099 1.2077 1.2139 1.2193 Dollar weakening AUD/USD 0.6366 0.6303 0.6322 0.6370 Flat USD/JPY 149.8064 148.8225 149.1097 148.5140 Dollar weakening USD/CHF 0.9180 0.9207 0.9171 0.9131 Flat USD/CAD 1.3671 1.3711 1.3744 1.3714 Dollar strengthening … Continue reading Could dollar weakening be in anticipation of the jobs report?
U.S. Representative Matt Gaetz, Republican of Florida, made an off the cuff statement today to reporters about the U.S. dollar when asked about efforts to remove U.S. Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy, Republican of California, from his leadership position. Mr Gaetz has been taking issue with Speaker McCarthy’s apparent temporary alliance with Democrats after … Continue reading Foreign exchange: The dollar appears to be following the extended higher rates narrative and Washington is helping …
The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury Did Not Intervene in FX Markets During the Second Quarter August 10, 2023 NEW YORK—The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury did not intervene in foreign exchange markets during the April – June 2023 quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said today in its quarterly report to the … Continue reading PRESS RELEASE
The stats … 30-Day Federal Funds Futures and Options (ZQV3): 94.735 Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.08% Discount Window Rate: 5.25% Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.15% 10-Year Treasury Note: 3.80% EUR/USD=1.0713 USD/JPY=140.5300 DXY=104.07 The takeaway … The dollar strengthens and I see less demand for the euro and the yen. According to data from the Federal … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Is one and done is out of the window according to CME Fed Watch?
There has been a lot of chatter over the last year about the dollar losing its dominance as a world reserve currency. I believe that the dollar will not lose that dominance overnight. The bulk of its trading partners are in the Euro Zone and North America. I have no doubt that nations like France and Germany will try to maintain close ties with the United States and any China-Russia currency bloc that may ensue from the attempts of emerging markets to develop their own currency. Continue reading What is the US dollar?
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 