Why should you care about what others are betting in the markets?

Are markets valid? Lately I have been questioning the validity of markets, specifically whether markets are the result of organic interactions between humans or whether markets are State-constructed funnels for moving portions of monetary energy from consumers to the government via taxes. I have to be mindful that markets are not some linear, mechanical construct … Continue reading Why should you care about what others are betting in the markets?

Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

The takeaway: Turning the Ukraine-Russia war into a play on infrastructure. Among my general thesis about government is that it plays a role in making a market. In the 1700s and 1800s, the United States was in essence a realtor, selling land to settlers who promised to develop the vast territory of the United States. … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

Today should mark America’s march toward a winning currency policy.

Around 2:00 am this morning, it was projected that Donald J. Trump had secured enough potential Electoral College votes to be America’s 47th head of state. The official certification as president-elect will not occur until the middle of next month in the Electoral College with certification by the President of the Senate of the Electoral … Continue reading Today should mark America’s march toward a winning currency policy.

The Federal Reserve, banking, and managing political theatrics ….

The Federal Open Market Committee issued a decision last Wednesday to maintain the target range of its federal funds rate between 5.25% and 5.50%. For banks that need to borrow from the Federal Reserve System’s discount window, rates for this lender of last resort facility is at 5.50%. Within the interbank market, banks will continue to see … Continue reading The Federal Reserve, banking, and managing political theatrics ….

Binary options: How the dollar is expected to fare at week’s end.

Data from NADEX as of 11:55 pm shows the EUR/USD has a probability of .7525 that the currency pair’s price will exceed 1.0525 on 13 October 2023. The current rate reported by x-rates.com is 1.0570. The USD/JPY has a probability of .500 of exceeding 148.75 by week’s end. The current rate is 148.6382. Meanwhile, the … Continue reading Binary options: How the dollar is expected to fare at week’s end.

What is the US dollar?

There has been a lot of chatter over the last year about the dollar losing its dominance as a world reserve currency. I believe that the dollar will not lose that dominance overnight. The bulk of its trading partners are in the Euro Zone and North America. I have no doubt that nations like France and Germany will try to maintain close ties with the United States and any China-Russia currency bloc that may ensue from the attempts of emerging markets to develop their own currency. Continue reading What is the US dollar?

What should your currency be backed by? Deposits of gold, silver, land, food, and knowledge.

Currency derives its value from the underlying money we spoke of earlier. Currency is a promise that per one unit of this derivative we receive some portion of the underlying money. Currency not only is a derivative, it’s a bond, a promise to pay real money, but in this case, a promise that is not backed by real money. Continue reading What should your currency be backed by? Deposits of gold, silver, land, food, and knowledge.