Plenty of chatter on the business cable news channels and online press about the “Trump Trade.” The first time I heard this term, I was shuttled back to November 2016 when the business media proclaimed a “Trump Effect” on the markets. The media reported back then the market expectations of economic growth resulting from forecasted … Continue reading What is the Trump Trade? At a minimum, pre-mature.
The takeaway … Two times a year, the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System heads up to Capitol Hill to deliver a semi-annual report on the state of U.S. monetary policy to both chambers of Congress. You can almost guarantee that at least two representatives or two senators will ask … Continue reading Jerome Powell simply chooses not to opine on fiscal policy. Congress chooses not to read the Fed’s reports.
Looming in the background is the negative impact a slowed down economy will have on the Biden Administration and to a lesser extent the incumbents in the Congress. As the Biden Administration and the Congress negotiate the debt ceiling, there is the threat that fiscal policy in the form of higher taxes may be offered up as a way to shore up lacking tax revenue. This will also put a crimp on household and business spending. Continue reading The Interbank Market News Scan: I expect the euro to continue dropping throughout the day… 8:45 AM EST
I would think that given the U.S. economy runs on a fractional reserve platform that the Administration and the Congress would politely opine more on monetary policy. The Administration and the Congress appear to prefer the “kick the can across Pennsylvania Avenue and down Constitution Avenue” approach to monetary policy, mentioning it only when it is time to deflect criticisms on his handling of the economy. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: No political rhetoric today that impacts the overnight markets in the U.S.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 