Retail foreign exchange trader news scan: Iranian president is missing …

Iran. Ebrahim Raisi. “Rescue teams are trying to locate Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi after his helicopter was forced into an emergency landing on his way back from a visit to the country’s northwest.” — Bloomberg. Nigeria. Central Bank of Nigeria. naira. “Central bank intervention this week failed to stop slide in Nigeria’s naira to a … Continue reading Retail foreign exchange trader news scan: Iranian president is missing …

Will the AUD/USD keep falling through end of the week? Can Biden influence Albanese’s visit to China?

AUD/USD=0.63201 There is more to Australia than the Australian Open, which I look forward to each year because it signals the beginning of the tennis season ( For my fellow tennis-heads, the dates are 14 January to 28 January 2024). Prior to the tennis hardcourt play down under is the political hardcourt play in the … Continue reading Will the AUD/USD keep falling through end of the week? Can Biden influence Albanese’s visit to China?

Should traders pray for state intervention in foreign exchange markets?

If I am assessing the probability of the exchange rate of a currency pair exceeding a certain price at a certain time, that expectation is going to be based, in part, on what government action may or may not occur. For all the anti-intervention chatter we hear from asset managers all over mainstream and social media, going through the following back-of-the napkin exercise has brought me to a contrarian view. Maybe some of these asset managers would like to see some kind of government action that creates profits for them. Continue reading Should traders pray for state intervention in foreign exchange markets?

What is the US dollar?

There has been a lot of chatter over the last year about the dollar losing its dominance as a world reserve currency. I believe that the dollar will not lose that dominance overnight. The bulk of its trading partners are in the Euro Zone and North America. I have no doubt that nations like France and Germany will try to maintain close ties with the United States and any China-Russia currency bloc that may ensue from the attempts of emerging markets to develop their own currency. Continue reading What is the US dollar?

The United States, in general, and Republicans in particular, have a lot of hate for China …

America was happy with China as long as they stayed in their lane manufacturing cheap electronics and apparel and exporting them to the United States. And silently, Americans must have been cheering on China’s “One Child Policy”; anything to keep the Yellow Horde’s population under control. Continue reading The United States, in general, and Republicans in particular, have a lot of hate for China …