The takeaway: Be mindful of the information flow … Banks won this morning at 11:00. I calculated a forward delivery EUR/USD exchange rate of 1.1240 and expected a close at that time of above 1.1200, but the China-US decision to reduce tariff rates for 90 days gave the markets a boost. That boost strengthened demand … Continue reading Banks won this morning …
A Reuters article posted earlier last week discussed China’s desire to open up its exchange traded funds to Western market makers. The article mentions Citadel, an alternative investment manager, and Jane Street, a trading firm. According to Reuters: “Over the last two years, Chinese authorities have issued more licences (sic) and encouraged the development of … Continue reading Western banks doing business in China tells me there won’t be a kinetic war anytime soon.
The takeaway The markets and the general public are sliding down the rabbit hole of bewilderment as President Trump’s “will I tariff or will I not” approach to America’s trading partners have introduced more uncertainty to US investors. In some ways, this is the fault of investors themselves. I shed no tears for investors who … Continue reading Currency, Interbank, and Money Market News Scan: Trump’s conservative approach to constitutional power makes him look expansive.
The takeaway: As Trump seeks to weaken the US currency, he calls out Japan and China for doing likewise. Joseph Adinolfi yesterday wrote for MarketWatch that supporters of President Trump as well as members of the administration would like the President to consider policy that would weaken the US dollar while maintaining the dollar’s status … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Three Fed reference rates see an uptick. China, Japan receive warning about weakening currency.
Since President-elect Donald Trump announced his intent to acquire Greenland from Denmark, the Danish currency, the krone, has been devaluing against the U.S. dollar. According to data from OANDA, the price of one US dollar (USD) was 7.22722 krone (DKK) on 9 January. The currency continued to fall against the US dollar to a price … Continue reading Trump’s Greenland play. A state power flex.
The expansion of the BRICS alliance has been happening without any noticeable concern by the outgoing Biden-Harris administration. I heard no mention of BRICS by former Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris during her 2024 campaign. As potential de jure head of state, one would think that both her and the presumptive president-elect, Donald Trump, would … Continue reading Trump to the BRICS: “Don’t muscle in on my currency turf.”
Liquidity Foreign exchange, algorithmic trading, volatility. Financial markets have become more susceptible to liquidity shortages with the rise of algorithmic trading and increased market fragmentation, according to the Bank for International Settlements. Foreign-exchange trading, meanwhile, proved more resilient potentially due to measures taken to curb unwanted behavior from high-frequency traders. Yahoo!Finance. Excess liquidity. Thailand’s banking … Continue reading The Interbank Market: The Ghanaian cedi continues its appreciation against the dollar.
Media Scan Tether. Cryptocurrency. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, is in talks to deepen his financial ties with the company operating the world’s largest stablecoin, Tether, by launching a $2 billion project to lend dollars to clients against bitcoin, Bloomberg News reported on Sunday. Reuters. Foreign exchange. Fund inflows. America’s … Continue reading Interbank and Liquidity News Scan: African leaders still show enthusiasm for China even as financing has decreased.
Currency analyst and trader Kathy Lien shared this video where she discusses the reasons behind the current climb in dollar strength. She lists five major reasons. First, the US economy is doing well when compared to the Eurozone and Asia. Yields are increasing and attracting more investors. Second, the Trump return to the White House … Continue reading Is strong dollar policy antithesis of the Trump manufacturing agenda?
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 