The EUR/USD started a fall from 1.17284 around 6:00 am EDT this morning to 1.16798 at 10:00 am EDT. I must have missed something news wise that occurred outside of speeches made by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco president Mary Daly and Federal Reserve Board governor Christopher Waller. There was not much in terms … Continue reading EUR/USD clawing its way back up to 1.1700 … clawing.
July 09, 2025 WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Enforcement today issued an advisory to provide guidance describing its plan to address criminally liable regulatory offenses in accordance with Executive Order 14294, Fighting Overcriminalization in Federal Regulations. The advisory announces the framework to be followed when DOE, as the CFTC division responsible for … Continue reading CFTC Issues Advisory on Referrals for Potential Criminal Enforcement
Back on 7 July, the EUR/USD spot price was at 1.17802 around 8:09 am. I had determined a forward rate of 1.1775 for 9 July 2025. At 7:02 am, the EUR/USD was at 1.17029 and I recalculated the forward rate for this Friday at 1.1701. The spot price is the price in the marketplace at … Continue reading As we await the FOMC minutes, EUR/USD shows some dollar strengthening.
I bought a EUR/USD contract speculating on a close above 1.1700 by 11 am this morning. At 11:00 am, the EUR/USD price at expiration was 1.17385. Tariff uncertainty dominated the media scuttlebutt as markets kept all eyes on President Trump’s letter writing campaign. According to CBS News, Mr. Trump was to send tariff increase letters … Continue reading Binary options: Did Trump’s tariff letters upset the EUR/USD?
President Trump has not yet posted on whitehouse.gov his pleasure with today’s jobs situation report. He likely said something on Truth Social, but I am just about up to here with social media so I will wait on Mr. Trump to use the public channels for expressing his glee. The report out of the U.S. … Continue reading Binary options: What I expect Trump to say about the jobs report.
Edward Dowd of Phinance Technologies made an interesting point yesterday on the YouTube show Palisades Gold Radio when he shared the following: “Inside information is transmitted quickly. Markets tell me more than what my leaders tell me.” When people ask me what sources of political information I follow, I tell them that I don’t do … Continue reading Binary options: Media and government pronouncements coming off more like echoes of the markets.
12 USC Sec. 242 says the following about the eligibility, selection, and removal of a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve. Hold tight. It’s a mouthful: “The members of the Board shall be ineligible during the time they are in office and for two years thereafter to hold any office, position, … Continue reading Legal risks: Trump is getting the weakened dollar he wants. Does he have cause for removing Powell?
Jerome Powell, chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System wrapped up his semi-annual visit to Capitol Hill basically saying all is well with the Fed’s implementation of monetary policy. Chairman Powell assured both the House yesterday and the Senate today that the labor market was at or near maximum employment although … Continue reading Not much moved me about Chairman Powell’s testimony this week …
President Donald Trump is upset at Israel for “unloading” on Iran after declaring a ceasefire. Mr. Trump does not appreciate that after fighting “so long and so hard that they don’t know what the fuck they’re doing” amounts to Iran, Israel, and the US being in a porn movie. Unloading after a ceasefire should have … Continue reading Iran, Israel, and the US version of a porn movie.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 