Currency analyst and trader Kathy Lien shared this video where she discusses the reasons behind the current climb in dollar strength. She lists five major reasons. First, the US economy is doing well when compared to the Eurozone and Asia. Yields are increasing and attracting more investors. Second, the Trump return to the White House … Continue reading Is strong dollar policy antithesis of the Trump manufacturing agenda?
In this video, some rich bros from the All-In Podcast are waxing philosophical about the likely positive impact a Trump presidency will have on markets including the equity and crypto markets. There is the usual narrative about how a lighter touch, deregulatory scheme will create growth in the markets as well as in economic output. … Continue reading Trump forgets that as head of state, he is responsible for expanding it.
November 14, 2024NEW YORK—The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury did not intervene in foreign exchange markets during the July – September 2024 quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said today in its quarterly report to the U.S. Congress. The U.S. dollar, as measured by the Federal Reserve Board’s broad trade-weighted dollar index, depreciated … Continue reading The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury decided to not intervene today in the foreign exchange markets.
Between September 2023 and September 2024, M2 money supply went from approximately $18,110.3 billion to $18,151.4 billion, according to data from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This amounted to a decrease in money supply of 2.17%. During that period, the money supply dipped as low as $17,923.3 billion in February 2024. … Continue reading Growth in money supply is relatively flat, but is money more expensive?
Emphasizing democracy may have cost the Democrats the election. Doubling down on their narrative may lead to the final implosion of the party. Democracy creates a feedback loop where the electorate hears the political class’s (elite) narrative, analyzes it to determine its relatability, costs, and benefits, and disposes of it when the electorate determines that … Continue reading Democracy stunted the Democrats. You can’t sell meat to vegans.
As the dust settles from the 2024 presidential election and yesterday’s Federal Reserve 25-basis point cut in the federal funds rate, I have been thinking about how the Democratic Party missed the opportunity to win votes based on how many Americans view the economy. According to data compiled by Pew Research, in September 2024, 81% … Continue reading Redefining the term, “economy.”
Today is Fed Day, when the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting on the state of the U.S. economy and issues its decision on the appropriate rates for regulating the interbank market. 12 USC 225(a) requires that: “The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee … Continue reading Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?
Around 2:00 am this morning, it was projected that Donald J. Trump had secured enough potential Electoral College votes to be America’s 47th head of state. The official certification as president-elect will not occur until the middle of next month in the Electoral College with certification by the President of the Senate of the Electoral … Continue reading Today should mark America’s march toward a winning currency policy.
The 4:15 pm fix is in. According to the Federal Reserve’s data, two-year and ten-year yields have been inching up over the last week. Throw in a little dollar weakening compared to the euro. Given we are closer to the beginning of Election Day (14.5 hours at the time of this writing), could some political … Continue reading The fix is in. Yields inching higher. The polls tightening. Tomorrow night will be pizza and popcorn night.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 