Category: US Constitution

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Law, Interbank and Money Markets News Scan: Counseling my clients to get politicians on code.

The Takeaway: Counseling my clients to get politicians on code. Yesterday, the U.S. Senate passed HR 1968, a continuing resolution to fund the government through the end of Fiscal Year 2025 but at Fiscal Year 2024 levels for most programs. The big hubba baloo in the media is over what appears to be continued weakness … Continue reading Law, Interbank and Money Markets News Scan: Counseling my clients to get politicians on code.

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Currency, Interbank, and Money Market News Scan: Trump’s conservative approach to constitutional power makes him look expansive.

The takeaway The markets and the general public are sliding down the rabbit hole of bewilderment as President Trump’s “will I tariff or will I not” approach to America’s trading partners have introduced more uncertainty to US investors. In some ways, this is the fault of investors themselves. I shed no tears for investors who … Continue reading Currency, Interbank, and Money Market News Scan: Trump’s conservative approach to constitutional power makes him look expansive.

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Currency and money markets news scan: Trump wants to reverse an “inflation catastrophe.”

The takeaway: Trump wants a balanced budget, but half the work is already done. 15 USC § 3101(b)(2) lists as one of the goals for economic growth a balanced budget. Specifically, the section reads: “(2) Aggregate monetary and fiscal policies alone have been unable to achieve full employment and production, increased real income, balanced growth, … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Trump wants to reverse an “inflation catastrophe.”

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Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

The takeaway: Turning the Ukraine-Russia war into a play on infrastructure. Among my general thesis about government is that it plays a role in making a market. In the 1700s and 1800s, the United States was in essence a realtor, selling land to settlers who promised to develop the vast territory of the United States. … Continue reading Currency and money markets news scan: Positioning ourselves to benefit from a rebuild of Ukraine infrastructure.

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Interbank market news scan: Will Trump’s reining in of independent agencies snare Federal Reserve monetary policymaking?

The Interbank Market U.S. Treasury rates The two-year, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates all increased between 9:43 am this morning and 4:52 pm this afternoon. According to Treasury data, the two-year rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.26% to 4.29%. The ten-year rate increased from 4.47% to 4.55%, while the 30-year rate moved from … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Will Trump’s reining in of independent agencies snare Federal Reserve monetary policymaking?

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Interbank market news scan: The bitcoin bros need to make an argument as to why a bitcoin strategic reserve is constitutional.

Proponents of bitcoin were very excited about the prospects of President Donald Trump creating a bitcoin strategic reserve. This prospect was fueled by support from Senator Cynthia Lummis, Republican of Wyoming, who last year introduced S.4912, the BITCOIN Act of 2024. S.4912 would require the Secretary of the Treasury to establish a “decentralized network of … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: The bitcoin bros need to make an argument as to why a bitcoin strategic reserve is constitutional.

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DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.

So, Elon Musk wants to cut the U.S. federal budget by $2 trillion or approximately 29.85%. If we transferred that percentage cut to annualized 2024 3Q federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment of $1893.4 billion, accounting for 6.5% of gross domestic product, government consumption expenditures and gross investment would fall to approximately $1,328.2 billion. … Continue reading DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.