NADEX, a binary options exchange platform, has an events contract posted with a buy price of $.98 on the EUR/USD exceeding 1.0275 by the end of this coming week. Assuming the Federal Open Market Committee does not make any changes to the federal funds rate, discount window, and interest on reserve balances, I estimate that … Continue reading I see EUR/USD exceeding 1.0275 by this Friday
The expansion of the BRICS alliance has been happening without any noticeable concern by the outgoing Biden-Harris administration. I heard no mention of BRICS by former Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris during her 2024 campaign. As potential de jure head of state, one would think that both her and the presumptive president-elect, Donald Trump, would … Continue reading Trump to the BRICS: “Don’t muscle in on my currency turf.”
Liquidity Foreign exchange, algorithmic trading, volatility. Financial markets have become more susceptible to liquidity shortages with the rise of algorithmic trading and increased market fragmentation, according to the Bank for International Settlements. Foreign-exchange trading, meanwhile, proved more resilient potentially due to measures taken to curb unwanted behavior from high-frequency traders. Yahoo!Finance. Excess liquidity. Thailand’s banking … Continue reading The Interbank Market: The Ghanaian cedi continues its appreciation against the dollar.
Nigeria, naira, foreign exchange. The Central Bank of Nigeria has issued fresh guidelines for interbank foreign exchange trading via the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System, mandating a minimum trade value of $100,000. The directive, dated 25 November 2024 and signed by Dr Omolara Duke, CBN’s Director of the Financial Markets Department, is part of efforts … Continue reading The Interbank Markets: From Trump effect to the Trump hedge.
Kashkari. Interest rates. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari, typically on the hawkish end of the U.S. central bank’s policy spectrum, said on Monday he is open to cutting interest rates again next month. Reuters. Trump. Tariffs. Markets. The dollar rallied on Tuesday, while European shares fell, after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump pledged tariffs on … Continue reading Interbank and Liquidity News Scan: Kashkari is open to a December rate cut.
Media scan British pound. US dollar. Scott Bessent. Sterling was on track to snap a three-day losing streak on Monday, as the dollar’s slide after the selection of fund manager Scott Bessent as U.S. Treasury Secretary lent support to most major currency pairs. Reuters. U.S. dollar. The dollar retreated on Monday after a stellar run … Continue reading Interbank market and liquidity flow scan: The pound firms up against the dollar.
Media Scan Tether. Cryptocurrency. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, is in talks to deepen his financial ties with the company operating the world’s largest stablecoin, Tether, by launching a $2 billion project to lend dollars to clients against bitcoin, Bloomberg News reported on Sunday. Reuters. Foreign exchange. Fund inflows. America’s … Continue reading Interbank and Liquidity News Scan: African leaders still show enthusiasm for China even as financing has decreased.
In this video, some rich bros from the All-In Podcast are waxing philosophical about the likely positive impact a Trump presidency will have on markets including the equity and crypto markets. There is the usual narrative about how a lighter touch, deregulatory scheme will create growth in the markets as well as in economic output. … Continue reading Trump forgets that as head of state, he is responsible for expanding it.
Between September 2023 and September 2024, M2 money supply went from approximately $18,110.3 billion to $18,151.4 billion, according to data from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This amounted to a decrease in money supply of 2.17%. During that period, the money supply dipped as low as $17,923.3 billion in February 2024. … Continue reading Growth in money supply is relatively flat, but is money more expensive?
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 