Interbank market news scan: HR 146. Is the Federal Reserve System ready to stop paying interest on reserve balances?

U.S. Representative Warren Davidson, Republican of Ohio, last week fired across the bow of monetary policy by introducing HR 146, a bill to amend the Federal Reserve Act by prohibiting the payment of interest on excess reserves held at Federal reserve banks. (Ready for your next trader challenge? Visit https://traderswithedge.com/?r=348) Interest on excess reserves were … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: HR 146. Is the Federal Reserve System ready to stop paying interest on reserve balances?

Interbank market news scan: International Economic Emergency Powers Act: Never act on the rumor of executive action.

As the media reacts to statements by the President-elect regarding tariffs on Canada and Mexico and taking Greenland from Denmark, I have to counsel caution about the weight and gravity of Donald Trump’s pre-inauguration pronouncements. Mr. Trump is not yet the President of the United States and until such time, trading desks should not pull … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: International Economic Emergency Powers Act: Never act on the rumor of executive action.

Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks

Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks

If FDI inflows are trending down, shouldn’t price of USD follow?

With all the talk of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa going their own way by moving away from the USD, the presumptive president-elect seeking a weaker dollar that promotes the export of goods manufactured in the United States, and a downward trend in foreign direct investment inflows to the United States, it would … Continue reading If FDI inflows are trending down, shouldn’t price of USD follow?

Jamal Hollingsworth Returns as CEO of Top Tier Trader, Poised to Lead the Company into an Exciting New Era

Miami, FL – SEPT 30, 2024 – Top Tier Trader, a leading name in the proprietary trading industry, is excited to announce that Jamal Hollingsworth, the company’s visionary founder, is returning to the role of CEO after a brief tenure as President. Hollingsworth’s return comes at a pivotal moment for the firm, solidifying TopTier Trader’s … Continue reading Jamal Hollingsworth Returns as CEO of Top Tier Trader, Poised to Lead the Company into an Exciting New Era

I don’t expect the EUR/USD to exceed 1.1168 by weekend. That could change, of course.

I don’t expect the EUR/USD to exceed 1.1168 by 3:00 pm Friday, 4 October 2024. My initial assessment is based on the German bund 10-year yield of 2.135% and a U.S. 10-year bond yield of 3.756%, per MarketWatch. Per X-rates.com, the current EUR/USD is 1.1166 as of 9:59 pm EST. (Interested in proprietary trading? Determine … Continue reading I don’t expect the EUR/USD to exceed 1.1168 by weekend. That could change, of course.

The chances of a 50-basis point hike in fed funds rate higher than reported.

The CME FedWatch tool is reporting a 59% chance that the Federal Open Market Committee will reduce the federal funds target range to 4.75%-5.00% from the current 5.25%-5.50% range. Business media has been reporting sentiment leaning toward a 25-basis point cut versus the sentiment reported in CME data. For traders, this should signal a bump … Continue reading The chances of a 50-basis point hike in fed funds rate higher than reported.