Betting that the EUR/USD closes above 1.1520 by 3pm today seems like a very conservative bet. The spot around 4:20 am was 1.1582 and I calculated a forward price for tomorrow at 1.1860, so why so bloody conservative? In short, the events in Western Asia aka the Middle East are hard to ascertain in terms … Continue reading Binary options: My conservative bet on a EUR/USD close above 1.1520 by 3pm today.
The primary question I ask myself when looking at a binary options contract for foreign exchange is, “Why would anyone buy euros using US dollars?” I had that question answered in part by the report on changes in U.S. consumer prices released half an hour ago by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. According to … Continue reading Binary options: NADEX contracts go dark at 8:30 am EDT. Inflation report looked most messy.
I bought a contract on the NADEX betting that the EUR/USD would close above 1.1360 earlier this afternoon at 3 pm. I would not have been surprised had the EUR/USD closed above 1.1380 but lately I have been hedging my bets by 17 to 25 pips. Honestly other than ascertaining the broker spread based on … Continue reading Binary options: The dollar continued its weakening against the euro.
What has been weighing on the minds of binary options traders? Traders who purchased the NADEX binary options contract for the EUR/USD>1.1340 expiring at 11pm last night won their bet. The contract closed at 1.13761. The idea that the European Central Bank will cut its interbank rates tomorrow likely influenced traders’ outlook on the trajectory … Continue reading Binary options: What weighed on trader minds last night; first glance at Global South FX rates.
I am going to start paying more attention to the Global South. I flirted with what is happening in the Caribbean and Africa regarding their currencies and central banks and it is time to do so again. Granted, their currencies are considered by the west to be “exotic” pairs, but you cannot ignore the shifts we are seeing particularly on the Continent. Continue reading Binary options: Eyes on the Global South. Not too surprised about last night’s EUR/USD close.
A report on the growth in Germany’s gross domestic product is due at 6:00 GMT (2:00 AM EST). FXStreet reports that quarter over quarter growth in Europe is expected to be 0.2% while year-over-year GDP is expected to decline by 0.2%. The NADEX is pricing the probability that the EUR/USD exceeds 1.1325 at $5.20 which … Continue reading At 5:18 AM, the EUR/USD is testing the 1.1319 level.
What the binary options market looks like … As of 7:19 pm EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $9.50 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $7.70 I … Continue reading The dollar seeing losses into the Memorial Day weekend …
The data is scary … As of 7:08 am EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $9.30 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $9.90 I calculated a forward … Continue reading A big move in the EUR/USD as the US government addresses fiscal concerns …
As of 8:05 am EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $6.90 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $8.40 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $9.20 Contract closing above 1.1075. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing … Continue reading The dollar weakens in the face of a UK-EU defense and trade reset. A credit downgrade did not help.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 