From a political standpoint, this narrative is far more powerful than anything either Republicans or Democrats can come up with. Can the U.S. government subsidize the shortfall in capital accumulation that a pensioner will need to sustain themselves? This is the question often overlooked as America moves closer to mid-century. Continue reading Just how much does it take to retire?
Since I was not surrounded by material wealth, I fell for the narrative of career growth, home investing, real estate, business growth, etc. If those approaches worked, by my estimate over 60% of Americans would not be concerned about running out of money before aged 70. So many of us have fallen for that traditional path to material wealth that cynicism toward professional networking events like these is warranted. Continue reading The lies behind “building wealth.”
The energy the trader expends is reflected in her buy/sell behavior. As long as we understand that our homework represents energy expended and later encapsulated in our buy/sell decisions, then we know that we are not merely making bets.
We trade education, encapsulated energy, and expectations. Continue reading Binary options: We trade expectations …
The old adage is that 99% of retail traders fail. I believe that we are failing because we are not good at obtaining and trading the most valuable commodity: information and knowledge. That failure is compounded when we push up against the hourglass of time. Continue reading I heard you should trade like a central bank. Let’s see what the Federal Reserve trading desks are waking up to on 5 September 2023.
Fed Funds Futures. 30-Day Federal Funds Futures rate=94.56 Source: CME Group. Federal Reserve Reference Rates. Discount window rate=5.50% Interest on reserve balances=5.40% Effective federal funds rate=5.33% Overnight reverse repo rate=5.30% Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Treasurys. 30-year rate=4.29% 10-year rate=4.20% Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. … Continue reading What interest rates are staring back at the Federal Reserve. 12:26 am EST 30 August 2023.
30-year and 10-year Treasury rates continue to tick up. Continue reading The interbank market at 8:35 am EST, 21 August 2023
In the end, the market maker’s proximity to the rate decision and the data the market maker provides trumps at least the notion of democratic participation in a decision that impacts everyone in society. Continue reading Of statecraft and governance: The market is regulated to maintain the fiction of democracy.
Foreign exchange. EUR/USD=1.0957 GBP/USD=1.2694 AUD/USD=0.6493 NZD/USD=0.5983 USD/CHF=0.8765 USD/JPY=144.9400 USD/CAD=1.3437 Treasuries. 30-year=4.38% 10-year=4.28% Reference rates. Discount window=5.50% Interest on reserve balances=5.40% Effective federal funds rate=5.33% Overnight reverse repo rate=5.30% Sources: Board of Governors-Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Disclaimer: The data and output from this blog post does not constitute investment or legal advice … Continue reading Rates seen by the Federal Reserve System on 17 August 2023, 11:50 pm EST.
Foreign exchange. EUR/USD=1.0957 GBP/USD=1.2694 AUD/USD=0.6493 NZD/USD=0.5983 USD/CHF=0.8765 USD/JPY=144.9400 USD/CAD=1.3437 Treasuries. 30-year=4.29% 10-year=4.19% Reference rates. Discount window=5.50% Interest on reserve balances=5.40% Effective federal funds rate=5.33% Overnight reverse repo rate=5.30% Sources: Board of Governors-Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Disclaimer: The data and output from this blog post does not constitute investment or legal advice … Continue reading Federal Reserve sees 30-year and 10-year rates continue to inch up. 15 August 2023, 9:51 pm EST
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 