Interbank market news scan: Trump makes an inflation promise that he can’t keep.

U.S. President Donald J. Trump promised today during his inaugural address that he would address the levels of inflation brought on by government overspending and high energy costs. He offered as a solution the old mantra, “Drill, baby, drill” implying that increases in the supply of American extracted and processed oil and gas would increase … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Trump makes an inflation promise that he can’t keep.

DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.

So, Elon Musk wants to cut the U.S. federal budget by $2 trillion or approximately 29.85%. If we transferred that percentage cut to annualized 2024 3Q federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment of $1893.4 billion, accounting for 6.5% of gross domestic product, government consumption expenditures and gross investment would fall to approximately $1,328.2 billion. … Continue reading DOGE, the Impoundment Control Act, and Trump’s opportunity for a little political warfare.

Growth in money supply is relatively flat, but is money more expensive?

Between September 2023 and September 2024, M2 money supply went from approximately $18,110.3 billion to $18,151.4 billion, according to data from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This amounted to a decrease in money supply of 2.17%. During that period, the money supply dipped as low as $17,923.3 billion in February 2024. … Continue reading Growth in money supply is relatively flat, but is money more expensive?

Should we look at a mortgage like a forward contract?

Just finished watching an insightful interview between Todd Sachs and Danielle DiMartino Booth via YouTube. Ms. DiMartino Booth is a renowned market analyst and commenter who brings an insider’s perspective to activity in the financial markets and the effectiveness of monetary policy. Ms. DiMartino Booth expressed concern about how home purchases used to be about … Continue reading Should we look at a mortgage like a forward contract?