The few that control financial and natural resources are as much afraid of uncertainty as you or I. Quelling uncertainty requires a model for managing expectations and in a credit-driven political economy that means determining before-hand where interest rates and yields should end up. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: As the money supply falls, asset values fall as well…
The Speaker of the U.S. House, Kevin McCarthy, and the President of the United States, Joseph R. Biden, came to a tentative deal yesterday (Saturday, 27 May 2023) on the debt ceiling for the United States government. While a bill is still to be hammered out, MSN and Reuters report that the deal would put … Continue reading Consigliere: I am already seeing the impact of the debt ceiling deal…
The Stats … 30-Day Federal Funds Futures and Options: 95.135 Source: CME Group. Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.08% Federal Funds Target Range: 5.00% to 5.25%. Discount Window: 5.25% Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.15% U.S. Ten-Year Treasurys: 3.39% EUR/USD=1.1026 USD/JPY=134.8500 GBP/USD=1.2650 AUD/USD=0.6747 NZD/USD=0.6299 Source: Board of Governors-Federal Reserve System. https://traderswithedge.com/?r=348. Today’s Definition: market maker. “A firm … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: What retail traders should look at from the Federal Reserve perspective at 8:43 am EST.
The takeaway … Banking on a new philosophy. Is it time to make consumer lending by banks illegal? Yes. Consumers should raise cash from private individuals and households to the extent that the activities of these private individuals and households have no impact on the money supply. The focus of nationally chartered banks should be … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Banks need a new philosophy.
The Federal Reserve Discount Window rate is up to 5.25% after the Federal Open Market Committee decided yesterday to increase its fed funds target range to 5.00% to 5.25%. At this writing, the Federal Funds Futures quote is 95.31 which reflects an average effective fed funds rate of 4.69%. Given that the target range was … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: What the fed funds futures market is telling me …
The takeaway: Should the State change its economic policy … The Government (the Executive and his Cabinet), with State approval, chooses capitalism and democracy as the political economic plan (policy) for managing the nation-state’s tax and profit extraction process. Since government is a human system, its managers will go off script and introduce chaos into … Continue reading Should the American State return to mercantilism?
On this first impression I expect both chambers of Congress to make the supposed banking crisis less of an issue especially as we move further into the campaign season. Congress, particularly congressional Democrats, do not want to be perceived as facilitators of a worsening political economy. Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Rates on Treasurys continue to inch up in week prior to Fed Day
The takeaway: A strategy for selling the idea of CBDCs: Paying labor by the end of the day. It is time for non-asset holding members of the labor class to look at ourselves as traders of time versus mere employees. The trader spends his or her day managing their financial and time capital converting one … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: How to sell the idea of CBDCs? By paying labor at the end of the day.
There has been a lot of chatter over the last year about the dollar losing its dominance as a world reserve currency. I believe that the dollar will not lose that dominance overnight. The bulk of its trading partners are in the Euro Zone and North America. I have no doubt that nations like France and Germany will try to maintain close ties with the United States and any China-Russia currency bloc that may ensue from the attempts of emerging markets to develop their own currency. Continue reading What is the US dollar?
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 