Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks
Narrative. Perception. Sentiment. That is what I saw tonight in play after the Bank of Japan released its statement on monetary policy. The USD/JPY was trading today around 153.786 at 1:00 pm EST. At 2:00 pm EST, when the Federal Open Market Committee released its statement, the yen had fallen, reflected in a USD/JPY of … Continue reading Narrative. Perception. Sentiment. And the dollar continues to strengthen against the yen.
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate at 0.25% and its deposit facility rate also at 0.25%. The uncollateralized call rate is similar to the Federal Reserve’s federal funds rate while the deposit facility rate resembles the Fed’s interest on reserve balances rate. Japan’s consumer price index … Continue reading And the Bank of Japan has spoken …
Liquidity Foreign exchange, algorithmic trading, volatility. Financial markets have become more susceptible to liquidity shortages with the rise of algorithmic trading and increased market fragmentation, according to the Bank for International Settlements. Foreign-exchange trading, meanwhile, proved more resilient potentially due to measures taken to curb unwanted behavior from high-frequency traders. Yahoo!Finance. Excess liquidity. Thailand’s banking … Continue reading The Interbank Market: The Ghanaian cedi continues its appreciation against the dollar.
Liquidity Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s nascent DeFi scene is getting a lot of excitement, with proponents saying that it will ultimately unlock more than $1 trillion in idle capital that currently does nothing more than act as a store of value. Analytics Insight. Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s price trajectory has reached new heights, nearly hitting the $100,000 mark post-election, … Continue reading The Interbank Market: Decreasing amount of bitcoin meets liquidity crunch.
Media scan British pound. US dollar. Scott Bessent. Sterling was on track to snap a three-day losing streak on Monday, as the dollar’s slide after the selection of fund manager Scott Bessent as U.S. Treasury Secretary lent support to most major currency pairs. Reuters. U.S. dollar. The dollar retreated on Monday after a stellar run … Continue reading Interbank market and liquidity flow scan: The pound firms up against the dollar.
In this video, some rich bros from the All-In Podcast are waxing philosophical about the likely positive impact a Trump presidency will have on markets including the equity and crypto markets. There is the usual narrative about how a lighter touch, deregulatory scheme will create growth in the markets as well as in economic output. … Continue reading Trump forgets that as head of state, he is responsible for expanding it.
Today is Fed Day, when the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting on the state of the U.S. economy and issues its decision on the appropriate rates for regulating the interbank market. 12 USC 225(a) requires that: “The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee … Continue reading Will the new administration apply Project 2025 reforms to the Federal Reserve?
The big event this week, the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting, takes place on November 6 and 7. There is something else occurring on the 5th, but for the life of me, I cannot remember what it is. Here is a quick look at the data. Foreign exchange rates per the Board of Governors-Federal … Continue reading A quick look at elections, Federal Reserve, and Treasury data.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 