U.S. Treasury rates On 14 February 2025, the one-month T-bill rate stayed at 4.37%. The ten-year note saw its rate fall from 4.52% to 4.47% while the thirty-year Treasury rate moved down from 4.72% to 4.69%. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System According to data as of 14 February 2025 from the Board … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Ten-year note, thirty-year bond, see decline in yields.
U.S. Treasury rates The one-month, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates moved down between 9:00 am this morning and 4:30 pm this afternoon. According to Treasury data, the one-month rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.38% to 4.37%. The ten-year rate fell from 4.62% to 4.52%, while the 30-year rate fell from 4.83% to 4.72%. … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Not much change in Federal Reserve Bank of New York reference rates.
U.S. Representative French Hill, Republican of Arkansas and chairman of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, announced earlier this week the formation of the Monetary Policy, Treasury Market Resilience, and Economic Prosperity Task Force. According to Mr. Hill’s statement: “The Committee’s new Task Force will conduct hearings looking into issues relating to monetary policy, … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Is the U.S. House task force on monetary policy more political than monetary?
U.S. Representative Warren Davidson, Republican of Ohio, last week fired across the bow of monetary policy by introducing HR 146, a bill to amend the Federal Reserve Act by prohibiting the payment of interest on excess reserves held at Federal reserve banks. (Ready for your next trader challenge? Visit https://traderswithedge.com/?r=348) Interest on excess reserves were … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: HR 146. Is the Federal Reserve System ready to stop paying interest on reserve balances?
The GOP-controlled 119th Congress will take its seat around noon tomorrow. Over in the House chamber, there will be a vote for the Speaker of the House. Meanwhile, results from the Pan-European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index demonstrates the danger of making a five day call on where the EUR/USD may end up at week’s end. … Continue reading The 119th Congress takes its seat tomorrow as the dollar continues to strengthen.
Europe is closed for the day and the EUR/USD is, as of 11:01 am, priced at 1.0382. I am still confident that it will trade above 1.0288 by the end of this week. As usual, I am interested in trader sentiment within the gardened walls of the interbank market. Unless you are sitting on the … Continue reading At 11:35 am EST: If I could be the fly on a broker’s wall …
Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks
Narrative. Perception. Sentiment. That is what I saw tonight in play after the Bank of Japan released its statement on monetary policy. The USD/JPY was trading today around 153.786 at 1:00 pm EST. At 2:00 pm EST, when the Federal Open Market Committee released its statement, the yen had fallen, reflected in a USD/JPY of … Continue reading Narrative. Perception. Sentiment. And the dollar continues to strengthen against the yen.
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate at 0.25% and its deposit facility rate also at 0.25%. The uncollateralized call rate is similar to the Federal Reserve’s federal funds rate while the deposit facility rate resembles the Fed’s interest on reserve balances rate. Japan’s consumer price index … Continue reading And the Bank of Japan has spoken …
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 