It is less about political interference with the Fed and more about the degree of interference.

There is ongoing concern of a threat by the Executive Branch to the independence of the Federal Reserve System, specifically influence by the Executive Office of the President on the decisions made by the Federal Open Market Committee on monetary policy. I do not think the issue is political threats to the independence of the … Continue reading It is less about political interference with the Fed and more about the degree of interference.

As America gets over last week’s payrolls number, Kalshiex sees a legal setback …

From the trading desk … A slow day for me on the NADEX. This morning, I bought the EUR/USD > 1.1540 that expired at 3 pm today and sold the EUR/USD > 1.1640 that also expired at 3pm today. Price at expiration was 1.15645. Markets were still digesting the May and June downward revision of … Continue reading As America gets over last week’s payrolls number, Kalshiex sees a legal setback …

Will the EUR/USD be impacted by France’s recognition of a Palestinian state?

According to a report in Reuters, France intends to recognize a Palestinian state during the United Nations General Assembly this September. Reuters quotes France’s president Emmanuel Macron as saying, “True to its historic commitment to a just and lasting peace in the Middle East, I have decided that France will recognise the state of Palestine.”  … Continue reading Will the EUR/USD be impacted by France’s recognition of a Palestinian state?

CFTC Issues Advisory on Referrals for Potential Criminal Enforcement

July 09, 2025 WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Enforcement today issued an advisory to provide guidance describing its plan to address criminally liable regulatory offenses in accordance with Executive Order 14294, Fighting Overcriminalization in Federal Regulations. The advisory announces the framework to be followed when DOE, as the CFTC division responsible for … Continue reading CFTC Issues Advisory on Referrals for Potential Criminal Enforcement

Legal risks: Trump is getting the weakened dollar he wants. Does he have cause for removing Powell?

12 USC Sec. 242 says the following about the eligibility, selection, and removal of a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve. Hold tight. It’s a mouthful: “The members of the Board shall be ineligible during the time they are in office and for two years thereafter to hold any office, position, … Continue reading Legal risks: Trump is getting the weakened dollar he wants. Does he have cause for removing Powell?

NFA orders New York, N.Y. retail foreign exchange dealer OANDA Corporation to pay a $600,000 fine

May 29, Chicago—NFA has ordered OANDA Corporation (OANDA), an NFA Member retail foreign exchange (forex) dealer and futures commission merchant headquartered in New York, N.Y., to pay a $600,000 fine. The Decision, issued by NFA’s Business Conduct Committee (BCC), is based on a Complaint issued by the BCC and a settlement offer submitted by OANDA, in which the firm neither … Continue reading NFA orders New York, N.Y. retail foreign exchange dealer OANDA Corporation to pay a $600,000 fine