Category: Federal Reserve System

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Interbank Market News Scan: Where bitcoin, foreign exchange, Treasurys, and Fed administered rates stand at 10:23 am EST.

30-Day Federal Funds Options (June 2023 ZQM3): 94.92 Fed Funds Target Range: 5.00-5.25% Effective Federal Funds Rate: 5.08% Interest on Reserve Balances: 5.15% Discount Window Rate: 5.25% Two-year Treasurys: 4.00% Ten-year Treasurys: 3.52% Prime Rate: 8.25% EUR/USD: 1.1026 USD/CAD: 1.3419 GBP/USD: 1.2650 DXY: 101.36 BTC/USD: 28138 Sources: CME Group, Board of Governors-Federal Reserve, MarketWatch. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Where bitcoin, foreign exchange, Treasurys, and Fed administered rates stand at 10:23 am EST.

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Interbank Market News Scan: Banks need a new philosophy.

The takeaway … Banking on a new philosophy. Is it time to make consumer lending by banks illegal? Yes. Consumers should raise cash from private individuals and households to the extent that the activities of these private individuals and households have no impact on the money supply. The focus of nationally chartered banks should be … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Banks need a new philosophy.

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Interbank Market News Scan: What the fed funds futures market is telling me …

The Federal Reserve Discount Window rate is up to 5.25% after the Federal Open Market Committee decided yesterday to increase its fed funds target range to 5.00% to 5.25%. At this writing, the Federal Funds Futures quote is 95.31 which reflects an average effective fed funds rate of 4.69%. Given that the target range was … Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: What the fed funds futures market is telling me …

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The Community Reinvestment Act not an example of political outcome for blacks

Black politicians concerned about protecting their communities via banking should have been advocating that the Federal Reserve increase rates hard and fast. While the increase in rates would have been accompanied by a decrease in house prices, non-blacks would have thought twice about buying up black neighborhoods while black homeowners using data evincing falling values could have petitioned for lower property taxes based on those falling values. Continue reading The Community Reinvestment Act not an example of political outcome for blacks

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Interbank market news scan: Rates on Treasurys continue to inch up in week prior to Fed Day

On this first impression I expect both chambers of Congress to make the supposed banking crisis less of an issue especially as we move further into the campaign season. Congress, particularly congressional Democrats, do not want to be perceived as facilitators of a worsening political economy. Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Rates on Treasurys continue to inch up in week prior to Fed Day

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Interbank market news scan: How to sell the idea of CBDCs? By paying labor at the end of the day.

The takeaway: A strategy for selling the idea of CBDCs: Paying labor by the end of the day. It is time for non-asset holding members of the labor class to look at ourselves as traders of time versus mere employees. The trader spends his or her day managing their financial and time capital converting one … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: How to sell the idea of CBDCs? By paying labor at the end of the day.

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Interbank Market News Scan: Betting markets see the effective federal funds rate dropping and that the Fed will not hike rates.

Over the next twelve months, as rates fall any cheerleading about an economic upturn should be tempered by a narrative that a close eye is being kept on the economy and that disciplined expenditures are being made to keep moderate winds blowing into the economy’s sails. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Betting markets see the effective federal funds rate dropping and that the Fed will not hike rates.

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Interbank Market News Scan: Inflation slows. Expect Biden to take a victory lap.

Should Mr Biden speak specifically to the inflation report, I expect that he will give some amount of credit to his inflation reduction and infrastructure initiatives that he has been implementing over the past two years. In theory, fiscal spending usually takes 18 months to move through the economy. Inflation, however, is a monetary phenomenon where there is an increase in money supply and not enough production in the economy to absorb the money supply. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: Inflation slows. Expect Biden to take a victory lap.

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Interbank Market News Scan: No political rhetoric today that impacts the overnight markets in the U.S.

I would think that given the U.S. economy runs on a fractional reserve platform that the Administration and the Congress would politely opine more on monetary policy. The Administration and the Congress appear to prefer the “kick the can across Pennsylvania Avenue and down Constitution Avenue” approach to monetary policy, mentioning it only when it is time to deflect criticisms on his handling of the economy. Continue reading Interbank Market News Scan: No political rhetoric today that impacts the overnight markets in the U.S.