Category: euro

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Trump’s poorly played short term currency policy exposes Europe’s long term currency complacency …

From my trading desk … FX Street is reporting today that traders of the EUR/USD should expect continued slides in the euro. I concur in their assessment given what I saw in the charts on the NADEX from 10:00 am yesterday morning to 11:00 pm that evening. The EUR/USD went from a close of 1.16375 … Continue reading Trump’s poorly played short term currency policy exposes Europe’s long term currency complacency …

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As Trump meets with von der Leyen, is he really looking for a weakened USD?

According to a news report in Reuters, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is set to meet U.S. President Donald Trump in efforts to hammer out a deal on tariffs and trade. President Trump has threatened a tariff of 30% on items imported into the United States from the European Union and if the … Continue reading As Trump meets with von der Leyen, is he really looking for a weakened USD?

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Will the EUR/USD be impacted by France’s recognition of a Palestinian state?

According to a report in Reuters, France intends to recognize a Palestinian state during the United Nations General Assembly this September. Reuters quotes France’s president Emmanuel Macron as saying, “True to its historic commitment to a just and lasting peace in the Middle East, I have decided that France will recognise the state of Palestine.”  … Continue reading Will the EUR/USD be impacted by France’s recognition of a Palestinian state?

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U.S., Israel, and Iran: Yesterday’s 3pm EUR/USD expiry at 1.14794 took me for a loop.

Leave it to President Trump to cause a market mover in the EUR/USD yesterday when he shared that he was not in the mood to negotiate with Iran. According to FXStreet, a financial media publication, the President’s sentiments helped drive the EUR/USD below 1.1500 indicating a move to safe-haven assets including, ironically, the US dollar. … Continue reading U.S., Israel, and Iran: Yesterday’s 3pm EUR/USD expiry at 1.14794 took me for a loop.

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A big move in the EUR/USD as the US government addresses fiscal concerns …

The data is scary … As of 7:08 am EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $9.30 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $9.90 I calculated a forward … Continue reading A big move in the EUR/USD as the US government addresses fiscal concerns …

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The dollar weakens in the face of a UK-EU defense and trade reset. A credit downgrade did not help.

As of 8:05 am EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $6.90 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $8.40 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $9.20 Contract closing above 1.1075. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing … Continue reading The dollar weakens in the face of a UK-EU defense and trade reset. A credit downgrade did not help.

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Binary options snapshot from the NADEX at 12:11 EST

Yesterday, I calculated today’s forward price for the EUR/USD at 1.1210. Reuters reported at 12:11 pm EST a EUR/USD price of 1.1143. The dollar has been strengthening since 9:33 am when the USD was priced at 1.1192, falling slightly to 1.1182 around 11:02 am. (Ready for your next trader challenge? Visit https://traderswithedge.com/?r=348) NADEX at 9:43 … Continue reading Binary options snapshot from the NADEX at 12:11 EST

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The Interbank Markets: EUR/USD hovers around 1.1210 as of 9:36 am.

My back of the napkin forward rate calculation of EUR/USD=1.1210 on Friday. The NADEX is pricing the probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1225 at $4.10. The probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1175 is priced at $7.20. At 9:36 am, Reuters priced the EUR/USD at 1.1210, an increase of 35 pips from yesterday’s 4:15 pm read of 1.1175. … Continue reading The Interbank Markets: EUR/USD hovers around 1.1210 as of 9:36 am.