U.S. Treasury rates On 14 February 2025, the one-month T-bill rate stayed at 4.37%. The ten-year note saw its rate fall from 4.52% to 4.47% while the thirty-year Treasury rate moved down from 4.72% to 4.69%. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System According to data as of 14 February 2025 from the Board … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Ten-year note, thirty-year bond, see decline in yields.
U.S. Treasury rates The one-month, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates moved down between 9:00 am this morning and 4:30 pm this afternoon. According to Treasury data, the one-month rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.38% to 4.37%. The ten-year rate fell from 4.62% to 4.52%, while the 30-year rate fell from 4.83% to 4.72%. … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Not much change in Federal Reserve Bank of New York reference rates.
Speaking today via satellite before approximately 3,000 attendees at the World Economic Forum, President Donald Trump provided his agenda for where he wants to take the American and world economies. It was basically a rehash of some of his written executive orders over the last three days. Mr. Trump declared that the election provided him … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Did Trump say anything scary to Davos participants? Nothing they have not heard before.
At 7:00 am EST, EUR/USD opened at 1.03017 and closed at 1.03052. I have to wonder how much news leaked about the strength of today’s jobs situation report. By the beginning of the eight o’clock hour of trade, EUR/USD had fallen to 1.0257 and continued to fall further to 1.02524. OMB Statistical Policy Directive 4 … Continue reading Are government agencies following their own embargoes?
Analysts at FXStreet see no turn around in Europe’s growth woes especially given rising gas prices this winter. MarketWatch reports the current DXY is at 108.88 (12:21 AM EST) and FXStreet analysts can see the DXY going as high as 110.0 before making a pullback. FXStreet analysts also see continued dollar strengthening expecting the EUR/USD … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Will trader sentiment push EUR/USD below 1.0321?
Yesterday’s biggest American political event was the election of Mike Johnson, Republican of Louisiana, to serve as Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress. Mr. Johnson was able to avoid a long selection battle for the speakership with the only major challenge coming from U.S. Representative Hakeem Jeffries, Democrat of New York. The next … Continue reading Remain mindful of data releases and political events when reading trade sentiment.
The GOP-controlled 119th Congress will take its seat around noon tomorrow. Over in the House chamber, there will be a vote for the Speaker of the House. Meanwhile, results from the Pan-European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index demonstrates the danger of making a five day call on where the EUR/USD may end up at week’s end. … Continue reading The 119th Congress takes its seat tomorrow as the dollar continues to strengthen.
Europe is closed for the day and the EUR/USD is, as of 11:01 am, priced at 1.0382. I am still confident that it will trade above 1.0288 by the end of this week. As usual, I am interested in trader sentiment within the gardened walls of the interbank market. Unless you are sitting on the … Continue reading At 11:35 am EST: If I could be the fly on a broker’s wall …
Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 