Today is a slow day but a telling one. At 10:00 this morning, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was at 48.7, lower than the consensus of 49. At 10:09, the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimum Index was down to 48.7 from a previous 50.0. When the ISM Manufacturing PMI is above 50, that indicates that the manufacturer is … Continue reading I sold two EUR/USD contracts at $0.20 …
The EUR/USD has fallen from 1.17129 around 6:00 pm ET to 1.16964 at 9:00 pm. At 10:55 pm the EUR/USD was flirting right below the 1.1700 market. Analysts over at FXStreet see the dollar losing ground if the Fed decides to go ahead with an expected 25 basis point decrease in the target range for … Continue reading A new data light day as dollar strengthens
Last night I committed the unholy error of trading a period outside of my plan. I trade binary options on the EUR/USD from Tuesday to Thursday. I trade for either the 11:00 am expiry or the 3:00 pm expiry. Last night I was up looking at the data coming through the NADEX and thought I … Continue reading Binary options: Tempted to jump in and trade but will stick to my plan.
The EUR/USD closed at 10:00 am at 1.16001. By 11:00 am, it closed at 1.17181. I thought his speech was a rehash of testimony he would have provided to Congress. The “nothing to see hear” nature of it told me that he would try to garner consensus of the rest of the Board members to … Continue reading Powell speech drives up EUR/USD …
As I write, the EUR/USD is at 1.17139. The EUR/USD has been increasing since 4:00 am when it read 1.16823. All eyes are on Anchorage, Alaska as U.S. president Donald Trump is set to meet Russian Federation president Vladimir Putin to discuss a resolution of Russia’s war with Ukraine. Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy has not … Continue reading As the USD continues to weaken, what does Trump get out of mediating a Russia-Ukraine peace deal?
From my events contracts trading desk … As we get closer to the meeting tomorrow between Russian president Vladimir Putin and US president Donald J. Trump, the euro tapered off some of the strengthening I saw from around 4:00 am this morning. The EUR/USD was at 1.16686 and by the close of the 6 am … Continue reading A quiet day at the CFTC and in the markets as well …
The EUR/USD closed at 1.16624 at 3:00 pm EDT. It was trading around 1.15746 this morning at about 4:00 am. Because there were no major economic data releases today, traders had more time to lament the downward revision of 258,000 jobs in May and June, the potential pullback in consumer spending as a result of … Continue reading Today’s foreign exchange action further confirms that Congress long ago abdicated its duty to regulate the value of money.
From my trading desk: A little dollar strengthening from 5:00 am to 9:00 am, then … From 5:00 am to 9:00 am, I saw dollar strengthening based on the decreasing price of the EUR/USD as reported on the NADEX. The price went from 1.15424 to 1.15354. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released its balance … Continue reading Time to discount effects of Trump’s call for a Powell removal on EUR/USD
From the trading desk … A slow day for me on the NADEX. This morning, I bought the EUR/USD > 1.1540 that expired at 3 pm today and sold the EUR/USD > 1.1640 that also expired at 3pm today. Price at expiration was 1.15645. Markets were still digesting the May and June downward revision of … Continue reading As America gets over last week’s payrolls number, Kalshiex sees a legal setback …
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 