The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury Did Not Intervene in FX Markets During the First Quarter

May 15, 2025 NEW YORK—The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury did not intervene in foreign exchange markets during the January – March 2025 quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said today in its quarterly report to the U.S. Congress. The U.S. dollar, as measured by the Federal Reserve Board’s broad trade-weighted dollar index, … Continue reading The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury Did Not Intervene in FX Markets During the First Quarter

The dollar weakens in the face of a UK-EU defense and trade reset. A credit downgrade did not help.

As of 8:05 am EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $6.90 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $8.40 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $9.20 Contract closing above 1.1075. Buy at $9.90 Contract closing … Continue reading The dollar weakens in the face of a UK-EU defense and trade reset. A credit downgrade did not help.

So far, a 98% chance the EUR/USD will close above 1.1025 this Friday

As of 6:12 pm EST, the NADEX offered the following binary options contracts for the EUR/USD expiring this Friday (23 May 2025) at 3 pm: Contract closing above 1.1225. Buy at $4.10 Contract closing above 1.1175. Buy at $5.00 Contract closing above 1.1125. Buy at $7.70 Contract closing above 1.1075. Buy at $9.10 Contract closing … Continue reading So far, a 98% chance the EUR/USD will close above 1.1025 this Friday

Binary options snapshot from the NADEX at 12:11 EST

Yesterday, I calculated today’s forward price for the EUR/USD at 1.1210. Reuters reported at 12:11 pm EST a EUR/USD price of 1.1143. The dollar has been strengthening since 9:33 am when the USD was priced at 1.1192, falling slightly to 1.1182 around 11:02 am. (Ready for your next trader challenge? Visit https://traderswithedge.com/?r=348) NADEX at 9:43 … Continue reading Binary options snapshot from the NADEX at 12:11 EST

The Interbank Markets: EUR/USD hovers around 1.1210 as of 9:36 am.

My back of the napkin forward rate calculation of EUR/USD=1.1210 on Friday. The NADEX is pricing the probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1225 at $4.10. The probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1175 is priced at $7.20. At 9:36 am, Reuters priced the EUR/USD at 1.1210, an increase of 35 pips from yesterday’s 4:15 pm read of 1.1175. … Continue reading The Interbank Markets: EUR/USD hovers around 1.1210 as of 9:36 am.

The Interbank Market: Dollar strengthens; the CFTC loses a commissioner.

The data as of 4:15 pm EST … Investing.com has calculated a forward rate contract price for EUR/USD on 16 May 2025 at 1.1205. That compares with my back of the napkin forward rate calculation of EUR/USD=1.1210 on Friday. The NADEX is pricing the probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1225 at $3.10. This represents a decrease … Continue reading The Interbank Market: Dollar strengthens; the CFTC loses a commissioner.

The Interbank Markets: Will ECB seek other sources of dollar funding?

The data as of 11:32 EST … Investing.com has calculated a forward rate contract price for EUR/USD on 16 May 2025 at 1.1205. That compares with my back of the napkin forward rate calculation of EUR/USD=1.1210 on Friday. The NADEX is pricing the probability of EUR/USD exceeding 1.1225 at $4.50. At 11:00 am, Reuters priced … Continue reading The Interbank Markets: Will ECB seek other sources of dollar funding?