President Trump has not yet posted on whitehouse.gov his pleasure with today’s jobs situation report. He likely said something on Truth Social, but I am just about up to here with social media so I will wait on Mr. Trump to use the public channels for expressing his glee. The report out of the U.S. … Continue reading Binary options: What I expect Trump to say about the jobs report.
Edward Dowd of Phinance Technologies made an interesting point yesterday on the YouTube show Palisades Gold Radio when he shared the following: “Inside information is transmitted quickly. Markets tell me more than what my leaders tell me.” When people ask me what sources of political information I follow, I tell them that I don’t do … Continue reading Binary options: Media and government pronouncements coming off more like echoes of the markets.
Jerome Powell, chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System wrapped up his semi-annual visit to Capitol Hill basically saying all is well with the Fed’s implementation of monetary policy. Chairman Powell assured both the House yesterday and the Senate today that the labor market was at or near maximum employment although … Continue reading Not much moved me about Chairman Powell’s testimony this week …
A ceasefire is not a peace deal and hostilities between Iran and Israel are merely on simmer. Two countries with so much animosity against each other are not going to kiss and make up after twelve days of bombing, strafing, and killing. The ceasefire between Israel and Iran announced today by U.S. President Donald J. … Continue reading US-Israel-Iran: Did Trump do Netanyahu and Khamenei a solid?
Michelle Bowman, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System’s vice-chair for supervision, will speak at 10:00 AM EDT at the International Journal of Central Banking conference in Prague. As vice-chair of supervision, Vice-Chair Bowman is responsible for the Board’s understanding of banks’ operations, banks’ major risks, how well banks manage these risks and … Continue reading Binary options: Miki Bowman speaks at 10:00 am today in the midst of intensified global risks …
Leave it to President Trump to cause a market mover in the EUR/USD yesterday when he shared that he was not in the mood to negotiate with Iran. According to FXStreet, a financial media publication, the President’s sentiments helped drive the EUR/USD below 1.1500 indicating a move to safe-haven assets including, ironically, the US dollar. … Continue reading U.S., Israel, and Iran: Yesterday’s 3pm EUR/USD expiry at 1.14794 took me for a loop.
Betting that the EUR/USD closes above 1.1520 by 3pm today seems like a very conservative bet. The spot around 4:20 am was 1.1582 and I calculated a forward price for tomorrow at 1.1860, so why so bloody conservative? In short, the events in Western Asia aka the Middle East are hard to ascertain in terms … Continue reading Binary options: My conservative bet on a EUR/USD close above 1.1520 by 3pm today.
When trading binary options, I am trading my expectations on certain events. I am entering contracts where one side of the contract has an expectation of some event, x, occurring and the other side of the contract has an expectation of some event, y, occurring. I am not trading a commodity, share, or currency. I … Continue reading Binary options: Mitigating risks from information barriers in the foreign exchange markets.
The primary question I ask myself when looking at a binary options contract for foreign exchange is, “Why would anyone buy euros using US dollars?” I had that question answered in part by the report on changes in U.S. consumer prices released half an hour ago by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. According to … Continue reading Binary options: NADEX contracts go dark at 8:30 am EDT. Inflation report looked most messy.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 