U.S. Treasury rates Yesterday, the two-year, ten-year, and thirty-year Treasury rates moved down between 9:00 am this morning and 4:30 pm. According to Treasury data, the one-month rate stayed relatively the same, moving from 4.29% to 4.28%. The ten-year rate fell from 4.55% to 4.53%, while the 30-year rate fell from 4.77% to 4.76%. Board … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Certain overnight rates see an uptick.
Yesterday, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would demand that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System lower interest rates. Mr. Trump’s off the cuff remarks reminded me of a scene from “Air Force One” where Harrison Ford’s character during a speech made in a central Asian country shared a position on … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: On interest rates, traders be advised that Mr. Trump is out of his lane
U.S. President Donald J. Trump promised today during his inaugural address that he would address the levels of inflation brought on by government overspending and high energy costs. He offered as a solution the old mantra, “Drill, baby, drill” implying that increases in the supply of American extracted and processed oil and gas would increase … Continue reading Interbank market news scan: Trump makes an inflation promise that he can’t keep.
The GOP-controlled 119th Congress will take its seat around noon tomorrow. Over in the House chamber, there will be a vote for the Speaker of the House. Meanwhile, results from the Pan-European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index demonstrates the danger of making a five day call on where the EUR/USD may end up at week’s end. … Continue reading The 119th Congress takes its seat tomorrow as the dollar continues to strengthen.
Europe is closed for the day and the EUR/USD is, as of 11:01 am, priced at 1.0382. I am still confident that it will trade above 1.0288 by the end of this week. As usual, I am interested in trader sentiment within the gardened walls of the interbank market. Unless you are sitting on the … Continue reading At 11:35 am EST: If I could be the fly on a broker’s wall …
Where are the trading desks of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank moving markets? Back in mid-December, the Federal Open Market Committee directed its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to undertake open market operations to maintain the federal funds rate between the target range of 4.25% and … Continue reading Looking behind the gardened walls of central banks
With all the talk of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa going their own way by moving away from the USD, the presumptive president-elect seeking a weaker dollar that promotes the export of goods manufactured in the United States, and a downward trend in foreign direct investment inflows to the United States, it would … Continue reading If FDI inflows are trending down, shouldn’t price of USD follow?
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate at 0.25% and its deposit facility rate also at 0.25%. The uncollateralized call rate is similar to the Federal Reserve’s federal funds rate while the deposit facility rate resembles the Fed’s interest on reserve balances rate. Japan’s consumer price index … Continue reading And the Bank of Japan has spoken …
Liquidity Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s nascent DeFi scene is getting a lot of excitement, with proponents saying that it will ultimately unlock more than $1 trillion in idle capital that currently does nothing more than act as a store of value. Analytics Insight. Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s price trajectory has reached new heights, nearly hitting the $100,000 mark post-election, … Continue reading The Interbank Market: Decreasing amount of bitcoin meets liquidity crunch.
Lawyers Write the Bets. Bankers Sell the Bets. 